RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Champions League Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October 2026 · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · referee N. Walsh · full time
Full time: RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV
RB Leipzig won 1-0 at home to PSV in Champions League Matchday 2 on Tuesday 13 October 2026. The goals: Brajan Gruda 75'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How RB Leipzig won it
The opening goal came in the 75th minute: Brajan Gruda for RB Leipzig.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, N. Walsh, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to RB Leipzig and 2 to PSV. Ivan Perisic missed a penalty for PSV in the 19 minute.
RB Leipzig: M. Demichelis, 4-2-3-1 · PSV: P. Bosz, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 55% for a RB Leipzig win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (1-1).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
RB Leipzig had 7 shots on target, PSV 5.
PSV's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
PSV had 57% of the ball, but RB Leipzig took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
RB Leipzig came into it with 2 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.65 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
PSV came into it with 2 Champions League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.97 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
RB Leipzig vs PSV: the match in numbers
| RB Leipzig | Match statistics | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Ball possession | 57% |
| 19 | Total shots | 11 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 3 | Big chances | 1 |
| 350 | Total passes | 464 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 6 | Corners | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 6 |
| 9 | Tackles | 19 |
| 5 | Saves | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Maarten Vandevoordt (RB Leipzig), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
RB Leipzig
- Maarten Vandevoordt 8.7
- Brajan Gruda 8.1 1 goal
- David Raum 7.2
- Willi Orbán 7.1
- Ridle Baku 7.1
PSV
- Matej Kovar 8.0
- Kodai Sano 7.4
- Ruben van Bommel 7.2
- Ivan Perisic 7.2
- Sven Mijnans 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Christopher Nkunku at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- RB Leipzig: FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Saturday 17 October 2026 · Bundesliga
- PSV: Porto vs PSV Tuesday 20 October 2026 · Champions League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about RB Leipzig vs PSV
What was the score in RB Leipzig vs PSV?
RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV (half-time 0-0), Champions League, Tuesday 13 October 2026.
Who scored in RB Leipzig vs PSV?
Brajan Gruda 75'.
Did Moneyball predict RB Leipzig vs PSV correctly?
A correct call on the result: 55% for a RB Leipzig win before the match. The scoreline, 1-0, was not the estimate's first choice (1-1).
Who was man of the match in RB Leipzig vs PSV?
Maarten Vandevoordt, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed RB Leipzig vs PSV?
N. Walsh.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.