RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
RB Leipzig welcome SV Elversberg to Red Bull Arena in Leipzig in Bundesliga Gameweek 7 action on Saturday 24 October 2026.
RB Leipzig have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 4.7 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. SV Elversberg have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, RB Leipzig are clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 18% and SV Elversberg at 16%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (11.0% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is RB Leipzig -1.5 at 1.98, SV Elversberg at 1.93. The main goals line is 3.75: over 1.92, under 1.97, which gives over 51%.
RB Leipzig: form and key numbers
In style RB Leipzig keep the ball, cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.19 a match created, 1.67 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 17.8 a match, 6.5 on target.
- Possession: 52.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.00.
SV Elversberg: form and key numbers
In style SV Elversberg are happy without the ball, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.80 a match created, 2.36 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 11.2 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 44.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: season averages side by side
| RB Leipzig | Per match | SV Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.80 |
| 1.67 | xG conceded | 2.36 |
| 2.67 | Goals | 2.00 |
| 17.8 | Shots | 11.2 |
| 6.5 | Shots on target | 4.7 |
| 1.7 | Big chances missed | 1.5 |
| 51.8 | Pressure share % | 34.5 |
| 15.0 | Tackles | 14.2 |
| 9.8 | Fouls | 11.8 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Players to watch
RB Leipzig
- Antonio Nusa LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 72 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 3% of his position)
- Willi Orbán CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 70 · Blocks shots, Box defender (top 5% of his position)
SV Elversberg
- Nicolas Kristof GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 74 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
- Maximilian Rohr CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Tidiam Gomis
Tidiam Gomis, 20 · RB Leipzig · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 73
Tidiam Gomis, 20, plays as a winger for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 75
- LW · Winger Natural, 73
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 69
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4.82 / 90 | 96% |
| Expected goals | 0.51 / 90 | 92% |
| Big chances created | 0.60 / 90 | 83% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.30 / 90 | 82% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.11 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Big-chance creator.
- What Tidiam Gomis is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Tidiam Gomis's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg prediction
RB Leipzig should have more of the ball, with SV Elversberg likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; RB Leipzig work the ball wide and cross; SV Elversberg are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.3 goals - 2.60 for RB Leipzig and 1.65 for SV Elversberg - with over 2.5 goals at 80% and both teams scoring at 75%. RB Leipzig have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: RB Leipzig 2-1 SV Elversberg
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg betting tips
- Tip 1: RB Leipzig to win 66% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 80% by the model, 4.25 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 75% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: questions and answers
When is RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg is on Saturday 24 October 2026, in Bundesliga Gameweek 7.
Where is RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg played?
At Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, RB Leipzig's home ground.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
RB Leipzig are the favourites: RB Leipzig 66%, draw 18%, SV Elversberg 16%. Our prediction is RB Leipzig 2-1 SV Elversberg.
Who is the player to watch in RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
Tidiam Gomis of RB Leipzig: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 73 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 80%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.