Real Betis 5–2 Osasuna: Result, Report and Stats
La Liga · Monday 12 October 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-17
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Real Betis 5 – 2 Osasuna
- Before kick-off the prices, margin removed, gave Real Betis win 59%. The result went the way the market leaned.
- Asian handicap Real Betis -1: won for Real Betis backers.
- Goals line 2.75: 7 goals, so the over won and the under lost.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in the Match Centre.
Real Betis welcome Osasuna to Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla in Sevilla in La Liga action on Monday 12 October 2026.
Real Betis have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 75% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate. Osasuna have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 3.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Real Betis are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 23% and Osasuna at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Real Betis -1 at 2.00, Osasuna at 1.90. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.97, under 1.92, which gives over 49%.
Real Betis: form and key numbers
In style Real Betis keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.75 a match created, 1.61 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.0).
- Shots: 17.8 a match, 6.5 on target.
- Possession: 53.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.02.
Osasuna: form and key numbers
In style Osasuna are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.22 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.8).
- Shots: 9.6 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 45.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
Real Betis vs Osasuna: season averages side by side
| Real Betis | Per match | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.22 |
| 1.61 | xG conceded | 1.53 |
| 1.75 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 17.8 | Shots | 9.6 |
| 6.5 | Shots on target | 4.0 |
| 1.5 | Big chances missed | 1.1 |
| 56.9 | Pressure share % | 40.8 |
| 19.3 | Tackles | 16.5 |
| 9.9 | Fouls | 13.9 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 2.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Real Betis vs Osasuna: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Real Betis have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Real Betis 11, Osasuna 5 - 3.2 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Real Betis 5-2 Osasuna (October 11th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Real Betis won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Real Betis | 5 – 2 | Osasuna |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Osasuna | 1 – 1 | Real Betis |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Real Betis | 2 – 0 | Osasuna |
| 11 May 2025 | Real Betis | 1 – 1 | Osasuna |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Osasuna | 1 – 2 | Real Betis |
Players to watch
Real Betis
- Álvaro Valles GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 77 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 4% of his position)
- Isco AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 70 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 1% of his position)
Osasuna
- Alejandro Catena CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 59 · Hard to dribble past, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Rubén García RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 47 · Crosser, Press-resistant (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir, 35 · Osasuna · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 75
Ante Budimir, 35, plays as a centre-forward for Osasuna in La Liga. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and duels won. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 75
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 xG/shot | 96% |
| Duels won | 7.91 / 90 | 95% |
| Shots on target | 65% | 94% |
| Expected goals | 0.74 / 90 | 92% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.65 / 90 | 90% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner, Accurate shooter.
- What Ante Budimir is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ante Budimir's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction
Real Betis should have more of the ball, with Osasuna likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Real Betis like to take players on; Osasuna go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 2.14 for Real Betis and 1.06 for Osasuna - with over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 58%. Real Betis have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Real Betis vs Osasuna betting tips
- Tip 1: Real Betis to win 59% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 62% by the model, 3.20 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Real Betis vs Osasuna in the Match Centre Follow it live
More La Liga previews
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- Osasuna vs Racing Santander Sunday 18 October 2026
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Real Betis vs Osasuna: questions and answers
When is Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Real Betis vs Osasuna is on Monday 12 October 2026, in La Liga.
Where is Real Betis vs Osasuna played?
At Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla, Real Betis's home ground.
Who will win Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Real Betis are the favourites: Real Betis 59%, draw 23%, Osasuna 17%. Our prediction is Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna.
Who is the player to watch in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Ante Budimir of Osasuna: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 75 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Tags
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