Real Betis 3–2 Porto: Result, Report and Stats
UEFA Champions League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-17
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Real Betis 3 – 2 Porto
- Before kick-off the prices, margin removed, gave Real Betis win 45%. The result went the way the market leaned.
- Asian handicap Real Betis -0.25: won for Real Betis backers.
- Goals line 2.75: 5 goals, so the over won and the under lost.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in the Match Centre.
Real Betis welcome Porto to Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla in Sevilla in UEFA Champions League action on Thursday 15 October 2026.
Real Betis have played 8 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 75% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate. Porto have played 2 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Real Betis are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 26% and Porto at 28%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Real Betis -0.25 at 1.83, Porto at 2.05. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.90, under 1.96, which gives over 51%.
Real Betis: form and key numbers
In style Real Betis keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.75 a match created, 1.61 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.0).
- Shots: 17.8 a match, 6.5 on target.
- Possession: 53.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.02.
Porto: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.68 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 8.0 a match, 2.5 on target.
- Possession: 40.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 1.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
Real Betis vs Porto: season averages side by side
| Real Betis | Per match | Porto |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.68 |
| 1.61 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.75 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 17.8 | Shots | 8.0 |
| 6.5 | Shots on target | 2.5 |
| 1.5 | Big chances missed | 1.0 |
| 56.9 | Pressure share % | – |
| 19.3 | Tackles | 17.5 |
| 9.9 | Fouls | 12.5 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 2 measured matches.
Real Betis vs Porto: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Real Betis have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of the last 1 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Real Betis 3, Porto 2 - 5.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Real Betis 3-2 Porto (October 14th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings Real Betis won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | Real Betis | 3 – 2 | Porto |
Players to watch
Real Betis
- Álvaro Valles GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 77 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 4% of his position)
- Nelson Deossa CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 66 · Dribbler, Long passer (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Isco
Isco, 34 · Real Betis · AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 70
Isco, 34, plays as an attacking midfielder for Real Betis in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in big chances created. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 70
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 68
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.71 / 90 | 99% |
| Shots | 3.82 / 90 | 98% |
| Key passes | 4.04 / 90 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 95% |
| Fouls won | 2.47 / 90 | 90% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume, Chance creator.
- What Isco is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Real Betis vs Porto prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 2.28 for Real Betis and 1.08 for Porto - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 60%. Real Betis have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Real Betis 2-1 Porto
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Real Betis vs Porto betting tips
- Tip 1: Real Betis win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.37 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 6.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Real Betis vs Porto: questions and answers
When is Real Betis vs Porto?
Real Betis vs Porto is on Thursday 15 October 2026, in UEFA Champions League.
Where is Real Betis vs Porto played?
At Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla, Real Betis's home ground.
Who will win Real Betis vs Porto?
Real Betis are the favourites: Real Betis 45%, draw 26%, Porto 28%. Our prediction is Real Betis 2-1 Porto.
Who is the player to watch in Real Betis vs Porto?
Isco of Real Betis: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Real Betis vs Porto?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.