Real Sociedad vs Levante Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 10
La Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián · updated 2026-10-17
Real Sociedad welcome Levante to Anoeta Stadium in San Sebastián in La Liga Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Real Sociedad have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Levante have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 13% of them. Away from home they average 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Real Sociedad are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 24% and Levante at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.86, Levante 1.47.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Real Sociedad: form and key numbers
In style Real Sociedad take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.17 a match created, 1.80 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.6).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.2).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 43.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Real Sociedad vs Levante: season averages side by side
| Real Sociedad | Per match this season | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.17 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 1.80 | xG conceded | 1.99 |
| 13.4 | Shots | 11.9 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.3 |
| 48.0 | Possession % | 43.9 |
| 13% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 63% | Both teams scored % | 63% |
| 7.3 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Real Sociedad
- Sergio Gómez LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 60 · Chance creator, Secure passer (top 12% of his position)
- Jon Aramburu RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Reads the game, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Levante
- Aïssa Mandi CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 4% of his position)
- Mathew Ryan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 53 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 21% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Carlos Soler
Carlos Soler, 29 · Real Sociedad · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 61
Carlos Soler, 29, plays as a central midfielder for Real Sociedad in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and key passes. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.27 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 2.03 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected goals | 0.21 / 90 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 66% |
| Long balls | 2.03 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Chance creator, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Carlos Soler is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Carlos Soler's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Real Sociedad vs Levante prediction
Real Sociedad should have more of the ball; Real Sociedad like to take players on; Levante go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.86 for Real Sociedad and 1.47 for Levante - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 66%. Real Sociedad have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante
Real Sociedad vs Levante betting tips
- Tip 1: Real Sociedad win or draw (double chance) 70% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.32 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Levante vs Athletic Club Wednesday 21 October 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Saturday 24 October 2026
- Racing Santander vs Espanyol Saturday 24 October 2026
- Valencia vs Villarreal Saturday 24 October 2026
- Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 24 October 2026
- Athletic Club vs Getafe Sunday 25 October 2026
- Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Sunday 25 October 2026
Real Sociedad vs Levante: questions and answers
When is Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Real Sociedad vs Levante is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 10.
Where is Real Sociedad vs Levante played?
At Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián, Real Sociedad's home ground.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Real Sociedad are the favourites: Real Sociedad 46%, draw 24%, Levante 30%. Our prediction is Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante.
Who is the player to watch in Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Carlos Soler of Real Sociedad: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.