Real Sociedad vs Levante Prediction and Betting Tips
La Liga · Monday 26 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Real Sociedad welcome Levante to Anoeta Stadium in San Sebastián in La Liga action on Monday 26 October 2026.
Real Sociedad have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Levante have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 13% of them. Away from home they average 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Real Sociedad are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 24% and Levante at 22%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Real Sociedad -0.75 at 1.94, Levante at 1.96. The main goals line is 3: over 1.98, under 1.90, which gives over 49%.
Real Sociedad: form and key numbers
In style Real Sociedad play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.17 a match created, 1.80 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.6).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.2).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 43.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Real Sociedad vs Levante: season averages side by side
| Real Sociedad | Per match | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 1.80 | xG conceded | 1.99 |
| 1.50 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 13.4 | Shots | 11.9 |
| 5.0 | Shots on target | 4.3 |
| 1.6 | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| 44.5 | Pressure share % | 39.2 |
| 17.9 | Tackles | 18.9 |
| 12.6 | Fouls | 9.9 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Real Sociedad vs Levante: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Real Sociedad have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Real Sociedad 3, Levante 1 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Real Sociedad 2-0 Levante (April 4th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Real Sociedad won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Real Sociedad | 2 – 0 | Levante |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Levante | 1 – 1 | Real Sociedad |
Players to watch
Real Sociedad
- Carlos Soler CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 60 · Creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 7% of his position)
- Jon Aramburu RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Reads the game, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Levante
- Aïssa Mandi CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 4% of his position)
- Mathew Ryan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 54 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 20% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Sergio Gómez
Sergio Gómez, 26 · Real Sociedad · LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 61
Sergio Gómez, 26, plays as a full-back for Real Sociedad in La Liga. Strongest for his role in key passes and pass accuracy. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 61
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 57
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 1.19 / 90 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 85% |
| Passes | 49.43 / 90 | 83% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.79 / 90 | 78% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.12 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Secure passer, Ball circulator.
- What Sergio Gómez is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Sergio Gómez's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Real Sociedad vs Levante prediction
Real Sociedad should have more of the ball; Real Sociedad like to take players on; Levante go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.87 for Real Sociedad and 1.48 for Levante - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 66%. Real Sociedad have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Real Sociedad vs Levante betting tips
- Tip 1: Real Sociedad win or draw (double chance) 78% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.34 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Real Sociedad vs Levante in the Match Centre Follow it live
More La Liga previews
- Osasuna vs Racing Santander Sunday 18 October 2026
- Celta Vigo vs Alaves Sunday 18 October 2026
- Malaga CF vs Real Sociedad Sunday 18 October 2026
- Real Madrid vs Sevilla Sunday 18 October 2026
- Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Monday 19 October 2026
- Levante vs Athletic Bilbao Wednesday 21 October 2026
Real Sociedad vs Levante: questions and answers
When is Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Real Sociedad vs Levante is on Monday 26 October 2026, in La Liga.
Where is Real Sociedad vs Levante played?
At Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián, Real Sociedad's home ground.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Real Sociedad are the favourites: Real Sociedad 54%, draw 24%, Levante 22%. Our prediction is Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante.
Who is the player to watch in Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Sergio Gómez of Real Sociedad: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.