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Rennes 4-1 Auxerre: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Rennes 4-1 Auxerre

Rennes 4-1 Auxerre: Rennes took the points in Ligue 1 Matchday 6 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Roazhon Park. The goals: Estéban Lepaul 15', Cameron Archer 25', Adrien Thomasson 53', Boulaye Dia 90+2', Boulaye Dia 90+4'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Rennes won it

Estéban Lepaul put Rennes ahead in the 15th minute, set up by Charlie Cresswell. Auxerre levelled at 1-1 in the 25th minute through Cameron Archer, set up by Mamadou Diop. Adrien Thomasson made it 2-1 to Rennes in the 53rd minute, set up by Bryan Reynolds. Boulaye Dia made it 3-1 to Rennes in the 90th minute (+2), set up by Ludovic Blas. Boulaye Dia made it 4-1 to Rennes in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Bryan Reynolds.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Boulaye Dia scored twice.

The referee, W. Delajod, showed 4 yellow cards: 4 to Rennes and 0 to Auxerre.

Rennes: F. Haise, 4-3-3 · Auxerre: W. Still, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 53% for a Rennes win before the match. The scoreline, 4-1, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.7 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 72%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 70%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Rennes win at 66%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.88 for Rennes and 2.33 for Auxerre.

Rennes scored about 3.1 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Auxerre left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Auxerre created the better chances, 2.33 xG to 0.88, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Rennes to create more, and Auxerre did.

Rennes had 10 shots on target, Auxerre 5.

Auxerre's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Rennes had 59% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Rennes came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.82 expected goals for and 1.85 against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Auxerre came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.7 a match, with 1.26 expected goals for and 1.96 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Rennes vs Auxerre: the match in numbers

RennesMatch statisticsAuxerre
59%Ball possession41%
0.88Expected goals (xG)2.33
21Total shots12
10Shots on target5
3Big chances2
534Total passes377
86%Pass accuracy78%
12Corners5
12Fouls11
2Offsides4
18Tackles20
4Saves6
3Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Boulaye Dia (Rennes), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Rennes

Auxerre

The lowest-rated starter was Axel Tuanzebe at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Rennes vs Auxerre

What was the score in Rennes vs Auxerre?

Rennes 4-1 Auxerre (half-time 1-1), Ligue 1, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Rennes vs Auxerre?

Estéban Lepaul 15', Cameron Archer 25', Adrien Thomasson 53', Boulaye Dia 90+2', Boulaye Dia 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Rennes vs Auxerre correctly?

A correct call on the result: 53% for a Rennes win before the match. The scoreline, 4-1, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).

Who was man of the match in Rennes vs Auxerre?

Boulaye Dia, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Rennes vs Auxerre?

W. Delajod.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.