Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Rennes 3-2 Le Mans: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Rennes 3-2 Le Mans

Rennes 3-2 Le Mans: Rennes took the points in Ligue 1 Matchday 2 on Sunday 30 August 2026 at Roazhon Park. The goals: Estéban Lepaul 5', Valentin Rongier   26', Louis Mafouta 30', Louis Mafouta 54', Estéban Lepaul 90+6'.

How Rennes won it

The opening goal came in the 5th minute: Estéban Lepaul for Rennes, set up by Adrien Thomasson . Valentin Rongier   made it 2-0 to Rennes in the 26th minute, set up by Issa Soumaré. Louis Mafouta made it 2-1 to Le Mans in the 30th minute, set up by Lucas Calodat. Le Mans levelled at 2-2 in the 54th minute through Louis Mafouta from the penalty spot. Estéban Lepaul from the penalty spot made it 3-2 to Rennes in the 90th minute (+6).

It was 2-1 at half-time.

Estéban Lepaul scored twice.

Louis Mafouta scored twice.

Djibril Sidibé of Le Mans was sent off in the 68th minute. The referee, R. Lissorgue, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Rennes and 2 to Le Mans.

Rennes: F. Haise, 4-3-3 · Le Mans: P. Videira, 3-1-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.51 for Rennes and 2.96 for Le Mans.

Rennes had 8 shots on target, Le Mans 5.

Le Mans's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Rennes had 64% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Rennes came into it with 5 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.73 expected goals for and 2.04 against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Le Mans came into it with 5 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.67 expected goals for and 1.76 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Rennes vs Le Mans: the match in numbers

RennesMatch statisticsLe Mans
64%Ball possession36%
2.51Expected goals (xG)2.96
22Total shots12
8Shots on target5
7Big chances4
501Total passes282
85%Pass accuracy69%
8Corners6
15Fouls15
2Offsides3
5Tackles10
3Saves5
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Estéban Lepaul (Rennes), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Rennes

Le Mans

The lowest-rated starter was Noa Boissé at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Rennes vs Le Mans

What was the score in Rennes vs Le Mans?

Rennes 3-2 Le Mans (half-time 2-1), Ligue 1, Sunday 30 August 2026.

Who scored in Rennes vs Le Mans?

Estéban Lepaul 5', Valentin Rongier   26', Louis Mafouta 30', Louis Mafouta 54', Estéban Lepaul 90+6'.

Did Moneyball predict Rennes vs Le Mans correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Rennes vs Le Mans?

Estéban Lepaul, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Rennes vs Le Mans?

R. Lissorgue.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.