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Rennes 2-1 OFI: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Rennes 2-1 OFI

Rennes won 2-1 at home to OFI in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026. The goals: Taxiarchis Fountas 10', Mahamadou Nagida 76', Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal 90'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Rennes won it

OFI struck first through Taxiarchis Fountas in the 10th minute, set up by Nikolaos Athanasiou. Rennes levelled at 1-1 in the 76th minute through Mahamadou Nagida, set up by Estéban Lepaul. Rennes turned it round: Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal made it 2-1 in the 90th minute, set up by Mahamadou Nagida. There was no time to answer it.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, A. Colombo, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Rennes and 2 to OFI.

Rennes: F. Haise, 4-3-3 · OFI: C. Kontis, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Rennes -1.50 at 1.76, and on 2-1 it lost.

The estimate's most likely result was a Rennes win at 75%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 48%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Rennes had 9 shots on target, OFI 1.

OFI's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Rennes had 67% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Rennes came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 1.73 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

OFI came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 0.70 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.

Rennes vs OFI: the match in numbers

RennesMatch statisticsOFI
67%Ball possession33%
25Total shots2
9Shots on target1
2Big chances0
536Total passes263
89%Pass accuracy68%
13Corners3
13Fouls11
4Offsides2
20Tackles17
0Saves7
3Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Mahamadou Nagida (Rennes), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Rennes

OFI

The lowest-rated starter was Thiago Nuss at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Rennes vs OFI

What was the score in Rennes vs OFI?

Rennes 2-1 OFI (half-time 0-1), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Rennes vs OFI?

Taxiarchis Fountas 10', Mahamadou Nagida 76', Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Rennes vs OFI correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Rennes -1.50 at 1.76, and on 2-1 it lost.

Who was man of the match in Rennes vs OFI?

Mahamadou Nagida, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Rennes vs OFI?

A. Colombo.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.