Rennes vs Strasbourg Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Ligue 1 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes · updated 2026-10-17
Rennes welcome Strasbourg to Roazhon Park in Rennes in Ligue 1 Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
Rennes have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate. Strasbourg have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Rennes are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 21% and Strasbourg at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rennes 2.30, Strasbourg 1.53.
- Over 2.5 goals: 74% · both teams to score: 71%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes cross a lot, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.82 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 52.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Strasbourg: form and key numbers
In style Strasbourg take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.93 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.8).
- Shots: 11.5 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: season averages side by side
| Rennes | Per match this season | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.82 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.21 |
| 1.85 | xG conceded | 1.93 |
| 17.0 | Shots | 11.5 |
| 6.3 | On target | 4.5 |
| 52.3 | Possession % | 48.0 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 83% |
| 6.2 | Corners | 2.0 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.89 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Rennes
- Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 6% of his position)
- Przemyslaw Frankowski RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 62 · Creator, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Strasbourg
- Pape Demba Diop CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 67 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 2% of his position)
- Filip Jørgensen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 64 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mahamadou Nagida
Mahamadou Nagida, 21 · Rennes · LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 64
Mahamadou Nagida, 21, plays as a wing-back for Rennes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in tackles and interceptions. Weakest in expected assists (est.). Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 79
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 75
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 4.44 / 90 | 98% |
| Interceptions | 2.37 / 90 | 98% |
| Duels won | 7.11 / 90 | 86% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.18 / 90 | 65% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.48 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Reads the game, Duel winner.
- What Mahamadou Nagida is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mahamadou Nagida's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rennes vs Strasbourg prediction
Rennes should have more of the ball; Rennes work the ball wide and cross; Strasbourg like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 2.30 for Rennes and 1.53 for Strasbourg - with over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 71%. Rennes have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Rennes 2-1 Strasbourg
Rennes vs Strasbourg betting tips
- Tip 1: Rennes win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 74% by the model, 3.83 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 71% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Rennes vs Strasbourg: questions and answers
When is Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Rennes vs Strasbourg is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 8.
Where is Rennes vs Strasbourg played?
At Roazhon Park, Rennes, Rennes's home ground.
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Rennes are the favourites: Rennes 55%, draw 21%, Strasbourg 25%. Our prediction is Rennes 2-1 Strasbourg.
Who is the player to watch in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Mahamadou Nagida of Rennes: a complete wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.