Rennes vs Strasbourg Prediction and Betting Tips
Ligue 1 · Monday 26 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Rennes welcome Strasbourg to Roazhon Park in Rennes in Ligue 1 action on Monday 26 October 2026.
Rennes have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate. Strasbourg have played 7 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Rennes are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 23% and Strasbourg at 23%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Rennes -0.75 at 1.95, Strasbourg at 1.95. The main goals line is 3.25: over 1.93, under 1.95, which gives over 50%.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes cross a lot, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.82 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 52.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Strasbourg: form and key numbers
In style Strasbourg are happy without the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 2.03 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.4).
- Shots: 12.1 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 44.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 86% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: season averages side by side
| Rennes | Per match | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 1.85 | xG conceded | 2.03 |
| 2.00 | Goals | 1.71 |
| 17.0 | Shots | 12.1 |
| 6.3 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 2.8 | Big chances missed | 1.0 |
| 50.8 | Pressure share % | 37.0 |
| 16.3 | Tackles | 16.7 |
| 13.0 | Fouls | 11.3 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 7 measured matches.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Rennes have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Rennes 9, Strasbourg 4 - 3.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Strasbourg 0-3 Rennes (April 19th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Rennes won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Strasbourg | 0 – 3 | Rennes |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Rennes | 4 – 1 | Strasbourg |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Rennes | 1 – 0 | Strasbourg |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Strasbourg | 3 – 1 | Rennes |
Players to watch
Rennes
- Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 7% of his position)
- Estéban Lepaul CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 63 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 6% of his position)
Strasbourg
- Pape Demba Diop CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 64 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
- Filip Jørgensen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 63 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 18% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mahamadou Nagida
Mahamadou Nagida, 21 · Rennes · LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 64
Mahamadou Nagida, 21, plays as a wing-back for Rennes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in tackles and interceptions. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 79
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 75
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 4.44 / 90 | 96% |
| Interceptions | 2.37 / 90 | 96% |
| Duels won | 7.11 / 90 | 87% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.48 / 90 | 66% |
| Key passes | 1.78 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Reads the game, Duel winner.
- What Mahamadou Nagida is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mahamadou Nagida's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rennes vs Strasbourg prediction
Rennes should have more of the ball, with Strasbourg likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Rennes work the ball wide and cross; Strasbourg like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 2.42 for Rennes and 1.50 for Strasbourg - with over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 71%. Rennes have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Rennes 2-1 Strasbourg
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Rennes vs Strasbourg betting tips
- Tip 1: Rennes win or draw (double chance) 77% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 75% by the model, 3.92 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 71% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Rennes vs Strasbourg: questions and answers
When is Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Rennes vs Strasbourg is on Monday 26 October 2026, in Ligue 1.
Where is Rennes vs Strasbourg played?
At Roazhon Park, Rennes, Rennes's home ground.
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Rennes are the favourites: Rennes 54%, draw 23%, Strasbourg 23%. Our prediction is Rennes 2-1 Strasbourg.
Who is the player to watch in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Mahamadou Nagida of Rennes: a complete wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.