Riga 1-1 Kairat: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 5th minute: Marc Gual from the penalty spot for Kairat. Riga levelled at 1-1 in the 12th minute through Salah Oulad, set up by Maksims Tonisevs.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, F. Lata, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Riga and 3 to Kairat. Mohamed Badamosi missed a penalty for Riga in the 28 minute.

Riga: A. Guľa, 4-2-3-1 · Kairat: R. Urazbakhtin, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50 at 1.75, and on 1-1 it won.

The estimate's most likely result was a Riga win at 50%; a draw, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 48%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Riga had 8 shots on target, Kairat 4.

Kairat's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Riga had 64% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Riga came into it with 7 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.91 expected goals for and – against, and had won 57% of their matches.

Kairat came into it with 1 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.24 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Riga vs Kairat: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Temirlan Anarbekov (Kairat), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Riga

• Iago Siqueira 7.9
• Salah Oulad 7.9 1 goal
• Ahmed Ankrah 7.6
• Maksims Tonisevs 7.3 1 assist
• Meïssa Diop 7.2

Kairat

• Temirlan Anarbekov 8.3
• Erkin Tapalov 7.3
• Oiva Jukkola 7.2
• Marc Gual 7.0 1 goal
• Azamat Tuyakbaev 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Mohamed Badamosi at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Riga: Pafos FC vs Riga Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
• Kairat: Kairat vs Panathinaikos Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Riga vs Kairat

What was the score in Riga vs Kairat?

Riga 1-1 Kairat (half-time 1-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Riga vs Kairat?

Marc Gual 5', Salah Oulad 12'.

Did Moneyball predict Riga vs Kairat correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50 at 1.75, and on 1-1 it won.

Who was man of the match in Riga vs Kairat?

Temirlan Anarbekov, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Riga vs Kairat?

F. Lata.