Rio Ave 0–1 Sporting Braga: Result, Report and Stats
Liga Portugal · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Rio Ave 0 – 1 Sporting Braga
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Sporting Braga win 62%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 1 goal in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Rio Ave welcome Sporting Braga to Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube in Vila do Conde in Liga Portugal action on Monday 9 November 2026.
Rio Ave have played 11 matches in Liga Portugal this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Sporting Braga have played 11 matches in Liga Portugal this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Sporting Braga are clear favourites at 62%, with the draw at 23% and Rio Ave at 16%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 47%.
Rio Ave: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.71 a match created, 1.77 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 7.6 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 47.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 27% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.58.
Sporting Braga: form and key numbers
In style Sporting Braga keep the ball, press high, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.33 a match created, 0.72 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.7).
- Shots: 14.3 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 58.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (40% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga: season averages side by side
| Rio Ave | Per match | Sporting Braga |
|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.33 |
| 1.77 | xG conceded | 0.72 |
| 0.82 | Goals | 1.18 |
| 7.6 | Shots | 14.3 |
| 3.2 | Shots on target | 4.0 |
| 0.5 | Big chances missed | 1.9 |
| 26.8 | Pressure share % | 70.8 |
| 13.6 | Tackles | 14.0 |
| 10.6 | Fouls | 14.9 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and 11 measured matches.
Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Rio Ave have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Rio Ave 4, Sporting Braga 11 - 3.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Rio Ave 0-1 Sporting Braga (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Rio Ave won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Rio Ave | 0 – 1 | Sporting Braga |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Sporting Braga | 3 – 0 | Rio Ave |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Rio Ave | 2 – 2 | Sporting Braga |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Rio Ave | 2 – 1 | Sporting Braga |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Sporting Braga | 4 – 0 | Rio Ave |
Players to watch
Rio Ave
- Vítor Hugo GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 38 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 20% of his position)
- João Tomé RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 37 · Reads the game, Secure passer (top 17% of his position)
Sporting Braga
- Adrian Barisic CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 50 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 19% of his position)
- João Moutinho CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 46 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho, 29 · Sporting Braga · CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 50
Vítor Carvalho, 29, plays as a centre-back for Sporting Braga in Liga Portugal. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and long balls. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 50
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 50
- CM · Central midfielder Accomplished, 44
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 4.99 / 90 | 94% |
| Long balls | 4.61 / 90 | 85% |
| Dribbled past | 0.13 / 90 | 79% |
| Duels won | 6.15 / 90 | 66% |
| Interceptions | 1.79 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Long passer.
- What Vítor Carvalho is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Vítor Carvalho's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga prediction
Sporting Braga should have more of the ball, with Rio Ave likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Sporting Braga are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 0.75 for Rio Ave and 1.58 for Sporting Braga - with over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 43%. Sporting Braga have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting Braga
Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga: what the numbers say
- 1. Sporting Braga win, the likeliest result 62% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 59% by the model, 2.33 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.0 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga: questions and answers
When is Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga?
Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga is on Monday 9 November 2026, in Liga Portugal.
Where is Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga played?
At Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde, Rio Ave's home ground.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga?
Sporting Braga are the favourites: Rio Ave 16%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga 62%. Our prediction is Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting Braga.
Who is the player to watch in Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga?
Vítor Carvalho of Sporting Braga: a ball-playing centre-back with a Moneyball Score of 50 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.