Roma 3-4 Real Madrid: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Real Madrid won it

Roma struck first through Marten de Roon in the 20th minute, set up by Matías Soulé. Real Madrid levelled at 1-1 in the 25th minute through Kylian Mbappé, set up by Yan Diomande. Donyell Malen made it 2-1 to Roma in the 51st minute, set up by Rodrigo Mora. Donyell Malen made it 3-1 to Roma in the 57th minute, set up by Matías Soulé. Carlos Espí made it 3-2 to Real Madrid in the 83rd minute, set up by Endrick. Real Madrid levelled at 3-3 in the 85th minute through Endrick, set up by Arda Güler. Real Madrid turned it round: Antonio Rüdiger made it 3-4 in the 90th minute, set up by Arda Güler. A late goal, and the one that decided the result.

Roma were two goals up and lost: Real Madrid came back from two down to win it.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Donyell Malen scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, F. Letexier, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Roma and 1 to Real Madrid.

Roma: G. Gasperini, 3-4-2-1 · Real Madrid: José Mourinho, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50 at 1.80, and on the half-time score, 1-1 it lost.

The estimate's most likely result was a Real Madrid win at 47%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (9%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.6 goals and there were 7.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 69%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 69%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Roma had 7 shots on target, Real Madrid 8.

Roma had 54% of the ball, but Real Madrid took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Roma came into it with 2 Champions League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 0.89 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Real Madrid came into it with 2 Champions League matches played, scoring 3.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 2.79 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Roma vs Real Madrid: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Donyell Malen (Roma), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Roma

• Donyell Malen 8.3 2 goals
• Matías Soulé 8.2 2 assists
• Mario Hermoso 7.2
• Nahuel Molina 7.0
• Wesley 7.0

Real Madrid

• Endrick 7.8 1 goal, 1 assist
• Yan Diomande 7.7 1 assist
• Arda Güler 7.5 2 assists
• Carlos Espí 7.4 1 goal
• Kylian Mbappé 7.2 1 goal

The lowest-rated starter was Vinicius Junior at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Roma: Roma vs Genoa Saturday 17 October 2026 · Serie A
• Real Madrid: Real Madrid vs Sevilla Sunday 18 October 2026 · La Liga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Roma vs Real Madrid

What was the score in Roma vs Real Madrid?

Roma 3-4 Real Madrid (half-time 1-1), Champions League, Wednesday 14 October 2026.

Who scored in Roma vs Real Madrid?

Marten de Roon 20', Kylian Mbappé 25', Donyell Malen 51', Donyell Malen 57', Carlos Espí 83', Endrick 85', Antonio Rüdiger 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Roma vs Real Madrid correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50 at 1.80, and on the half-time score, 1-1 it lost.

Who was man of the match in Roma vs Real Madrid?

Donyell Malen, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Roma vs Real Madrid?

F. Letexier.