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Sao Paulo 0–0 Corinthians: Result, Report and Stats

This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.

Result: Sao Paulo 0 – 0 Corinthians

Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.

Sao Paulo welcome Corinthians to Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo in São Paulo in Brasileirao action on Wednesday 4 November 2026.

Sao Paulo have played 34 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 35% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 17 matches, with a 83% win rate. Corinthians have played 34 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 26% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 17 matches, with a 33% win rate.

On the pre-match consensus, there is little to separate them: Sao Paulo 40%, the draw 31%, Corinthians 29%.

Win probabilities

Sao Paulo40%home win
Draw31%draw
Corinthians29%away win

The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.25 goals: 47%.

Sao Paulo: form and key numbers

In style Sao Paulo keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.

Corinthians: form and key numbers

In style Corinthians keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: season averages side by side

Sao PauloPer matchCorinthians
1.45Expected goals (xG)1.04
1.23xG conceded1.35
1.15Goals1.06
13.7Shots13.6
4.2Shots on target4.0
1.4Big chances missed1.1
57.3Pressure share %60.4
16.5Tackles14.2
14.2Fouls13.3
2.3Yellow cards2.8

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 34 and 34 measured matches.

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 6 meetings Sao Paulo won 2, drew 2 and lost 2.

DateHomeScoreAway
5 Nov 2026Sao Paulo0 – 0Corinthians
10 May 2026Corinthians3 – 2Sao Paulo
20 Nov 2025Corinthians3 – 1Sao Paulo
20 Jul 2025Sao Paulo2 – 0Corinthians
29 Sep 2024Sao Paulo3 – 1Corinthians
16 Jun 2024Corinthians2 – 2Sao Paulo

Players to watch

Sao Paulo

Corinthians

Scouting spotlight: Marcos Antônio

Marcos Antônio, 26 · São Paulo · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 58

Marcos Antônio, 26, plays as a central midfielder for São Paulo in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and long balls. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Passes 76Pass accuracy 87Key passes 75Expected assists 78Tackles 19Interceptions 1Successful dribbles 40Expected goals 50Long balls 81Dispossessed 38

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • CM · Central midfielder Natural, 58
  • DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 50
  • CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 43

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Pass accuracy90%87%
Long balls2.97 / 9081%
Expected assists (est.)0.20 / 9078%
Passes65.20 / 9076%
Key passes1.72 / 9075%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
  • ★★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
  • ★★ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder

Scout's notes: Secure passer, Long passer.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Marcos Antônio is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Marcos Antônio's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction

Corinthians should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.38 for Sao Paulo and 0.88 for Corinthians - with over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 45%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.

Prediction: Sao Paulo 1-1 Corinthians

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: what the numbers say

  1. 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 40%
  2. 2. 2 goals or fewer 61% by the model, 2.26 goals expected
  3. 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 14.1 cards a match between them
  4. 4. 10 or more corners 12.1 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.

Moneyball's reading

The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

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Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: questions and answers

When is Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians is on Wednesday 4 November 2026, in Brasileirao.

Where is Sao Paulo vs Corinthians played?

At Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo, Sao Paulo's home ground.

Who will win Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

It is close: Sao Paulo 40%, draw 31%, Corinthians 29%. Our prediction is Sao Paulo 1-1 Corinthians.

Who is the player to watch in Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

Marcos Antônio of São Paulo: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 58 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 39%.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.