SC Freiburg 2–0 Union Berlin: Result, Report and Stats
Bundesliga · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: SC Freiburg 2 – 0 Union Berlin
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave SC Freiburg win 66%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 2 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
SC Freiburg welcome Union Berlin to Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg im Breisgau in Bundesliga action on Monday 9 November 2026.
SC Freiburg have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate. Union Berlin have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 11% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 3.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, SC Freiburg are clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 21% and Union Berlin at 14%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 52%.
SC Freiburg: form and key numbers
In style SC Freiburg press high, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.87 a match created, 1.07 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.1).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Union Berlin: form and key numbers
In style Union Berlin are happy without the ball, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.12 a match created, 1.93 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.1).
- Shots: 10.2 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 41.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: season averages side by side
| SC Freiburg | Per match | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.12 |
| 1.07 | xG conceded | 1.93 |
| 2.22 | Goals | 0.78 |
| 15.9 | Shots | 10.2 |
| 5.2 | Shots on target | 3.2 |
| 1.8 | Big chances missed | 0.8 |
| 63.9 | Pressure share % | 29.9 |
| 13.3 | Tackles | 16.3 |
| 9.7 | Fouls | 11.9 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 9 and 9 measured matches.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- SC Freiburg have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: SC Freiburg 3, Union Berlin 3 - 1.2 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished SC Freiburg 2-0 Union Berlin (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings SC Freiburg won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | SC Freiburg | 2 – 0 | Union Berlin |
| 15 Mar 2026 | SC Freiburg | 0 – 1 | Union Berlin |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Union Berlin | 0 – 0 | SC Freiburg |
| 30 Mar 2025 | SC Freiburg | 1 – 2 | Union Berlin |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Union Berlin | 0 – 0 | SC Freiburg |
Players to watch
SC Freiburg
- Philipp Treu RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 4% of his position)
- Derry Scherhant LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 20% of his position)
Union Berlin
- Leopold Querfeld CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 68 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
- Felix Uduokhai CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 61 · Blocks shots, Box defender (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic, 23 · SC Freiburg · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 62
Igor Matanovic, 23, plays as a centre-forward for SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in duels won and shots. Weakest in shot quality (xG per shot). Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 62
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 57
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 8.78 / 90 | 86% |
| Shots | 4.32 / 90 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 50% | 83% |
| Aerial duels won | 4.18 / 90 | 82% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.54 / 90 | 62% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Duel winner, High shot volume, Accurate shooter.
- What Igor Matanovic is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Igor Matanovic's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction
SC Freiburg should have more of the ball, with Union Berlin likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.48 for SC Freiburg and 0.80 for Union Berlin - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 51%. SC Freiburg have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: SC Freiburg 3-0 Union Berlin
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: what the numbers say
- 1. SC Freiburg win, the likeliest result 66% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 64% by the model, 3.28 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.7 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 7.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: questions and answers
When is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin is on Monday 9 November 2026, in the Bundesliga.
Where is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin played?
At Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau, SC Freiburg's home ground.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
SC Freiburg are the favourites: SC Freiburg 66%, draw 21%, Union Berlin 14%. Our prediction is SC Freiburg 3-0 Union Berlin.
Who is the player to watch in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Igor Matanovic of SC Freiburg: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 62 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.