Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen · updated 2026-10-17
Schalke 04 welcome RB Leipzig to Veltins-Arena in Gelsenkirchen in Bundesliga Gameweek 8 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Schalke 04 have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. RB Leipzig have played 5 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 60% of them. Away from home they average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, RB Leipzig are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 23% and Schalke 04 at 20%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Schalke 04 1.07, RB Leipzig 1.96.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Schalke 04: form and key numbers
In style Schalke 04 are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.08 a match created, 2.08 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.5).
- Shots: 10.2 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 39.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
RB Leipzig: form and key numbers
In style RB Leipzig keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.44 a match created, 1.16 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 19.0 a match, 7.0 on target.
- Possession: 55.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 20% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.08.
Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: season averages side by side
| Schalke 04 | Per match this season | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 5 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 3.0 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.44 |
| 2.08 | xG conceded | 1.16 |
| 10.2 | Shots | 19.0 |
| 3.5 | On target | 7.0 |
| 39.8 | Possession % | 55.6 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 60% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 20% |
| 3.0 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 7.08 |
Players to watch
Schalke 04
- Loris Karius GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 71 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 2% of his position)
- Nikola Katic CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 62 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 1% of his position)
RB Leipzig
- Christopher Nkunku CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 70 · Clinical finisher, Chance creator (top 8% of his position)
- Maarten Vandevoordt GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Antonio Nusa
Antonio Nusa, 21 · RB Leipzig · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 74
Antonio Nusa, 21, plays as a winger for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in big chances created and expected assists (est.). Weakest in accurate crosses. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 74
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 70
- SS · Second striker Competent, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 1.11 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.46 / 90 | 97% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.33 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 2.44 / 90 | 84% |
| Fouls won | 2.00 / 90 | 74% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator, Creator, Dribbler.
- What Antonio Nusa is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Antonio Nusa's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction
RB Leipzig should have more of the ball, with Schalke 04 likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Schalke 04 are a threat in the air and from set pieces; RB Leipzig work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.07 for Schalke 04 and 1.96 for RB Leipzig - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 57%. RB Leipzig have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Schalke 04 1-2 RB Leipzig
Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig betting tips
- Tip 1: RB Leipzig to win 58% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 3.03 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Bundesliga previews
- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Friday 23 October 2026
- Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Saturday 24 October 2026
- FC Köln vs Schalke 04 Saturday 24 October 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Saturday 24 October 2026
- FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin Saturday 24 October 2026
- RB Leipzig vs Elversberg Saturday 24 October 2026
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Saturday 24 October 2026
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Sunday 25 October 2026
Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: questions and answers
When is Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 8.
Where is Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig played?
At Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen, Schalke 04's home ground.
Who will win Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig are the favourites: Schalke 04 20%, draw 23%, RB Leipzig 58%. Our prediction is Schalke 04 1-2 RB Leipzig.
Who is the player to watch in Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Antonio Nusa of RB Leipzig: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.