Sint-Truiden vs Brann Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 3
Europa Conference League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond · updated 2026-10-22
Sint-Truiden welcome Brann to Stayen Stadion in St.-Trond in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Sint-Truiden have played 2 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate. Brann have played 7 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 57% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Sint-Truiden are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 25% and Brann at 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sint-Truiden 1.70, Brann 1.43.
- Over 2.5 goals: 60% · both teams to score: 63%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (2 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Sint-Truiden: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.99 a match created (goals minus xG: -1.0).
- Shots: 16.0 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 55.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Brann: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.55 a match created (goals minus xG: +11.2).
- Shots: 8.1 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 60.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 86% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.49.
Sint-Truiden vs Brann: season averages side by side
| Sint-Truiden | Per match this season | Brann |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 2.1 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.99 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.55 |
| 16.0 | Shots | 8.1 |
| 4.0 | On target | 4.3 |
| 55.0 | Possession % | 60.6 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 86% |
| 6.0 | Corners | 7.3 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.49 |
Sint-Truiden vs Brann prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.70 for Sint-Truiden and 1.43 for Brann - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 63%. Sint-Truiden have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sint-Truiden 2-1 Brann
Sint-Truiden vs Brann betting tips
- Tip 1: Sint-Truiden win or draw (double chance) 68% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.12 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Getafe vs Lugano Thursday 22 October 2026
- Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann Thursday 22 October 2026
- Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion Thursday 22 October 2026
- Crvena Zvezda vs FC København Thursday 22 October 2026
Sint-Truiden vs Brann: questions and answers
When is Sint-Truiden vs Brann?
Sint-Truiden vs Brann is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3.
Where is Sint-Truiden vs Brann played?
At Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond, Sint-Truiden's home ground.
Who will win Sint-Truiden vs Brann?
Sint-Truiden are the favourites: Sint-Truiden 43%, draw 25%, Brann 32%. Our prediction is Sint-Truiden 2-1 Brann.
How many goals will there be in Sint-Truiden vs Brann?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.