Slovenia vs Scotland: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Nations League B · Saturday 26 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Slovenia host Scotland in the UEFA Nations League B on Saturday 26 September 2026. The prices see little between them: Slovenia 37%, the draw 30%, Scotland 33% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Slovenia 0 at 1.75, Scotland at 1.93. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.93, under 1.74, which gives over 47%.
Form in numbers
- Scotland create more: 1.43 expected goals a match against 0.83 for Slovenia.
- Slovenia give away less, 1.21 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Slovenia 10.5 (– on target), Scotland 12.9 (– on target).
| Slovenia | Per match | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.43 |
| 1.21 | xG conceded | 1.66 |
| 0.69 | Goals | 1.46 |
| 10.5 | Shots | 12.9 |
| 13.0 | Tackles | 12.8 |
| 13.6 | Fouls | 12.8 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 24 and 30 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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