Sparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrøm: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · TC Strahov, Praha · referee M. Matoša · full time
Full time: Sparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrøm
Sparta Praha and Lillestrøm drew 1-1 in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at TC Strahov. The goals: Josimar Alcócer 56', Thomas Lehne Olsen 90+1'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 56th minute: Josimar Alcócer for Sparta Praha, set up by Jonatan Braut Brunes. Lillestrøm levelled at 1-1 in the 90th minute (+1) through Thomas Lehne Olsen, set up by Gustav Nordh. Late, and enough for a draw.
It was 0-0 at half-time.
The referee, M. Matoša, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Sparta Praha and 2 to Lillestrøm.
Sparta Praha: B. Priske Pedersen, 4-2-3-1 · Lillestrøm: H. Ødegaard, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Sparta Praha -0.50 at 1.76, and on the half-time score, 0-0 it lost.
The estimate's most likely result was a Sparta Praha win at 69%; a draw, at 19%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Sparta Praha had 8 shots on target, Lillestrøm 2.
Lillestrøm's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Sparta Praha had 52% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Sparta Praha came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.77 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Lillestrøm came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.78 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm: the match in numbers
| Sparta Praha | Match statistics | Lillestrøm |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Ball possession | 48% |
| 15 | Total shots | 6 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 2 | Big chances | 1 |
| 409 | Total passes | 391 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 13 | Tackles | 23 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Stian Kristiansen (Lillestrøm), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Sparta Praha
- Josimar Alcócer 7.6 1 goal
- Jonatan Braut Brunes 7.4 1 assist
- Viktor Vitályos 7.1
- John Mercado 7.1
- Matěj Jurásek 7.0
Lillestrøm
- Stian Kristiansen 7.8
- Pontus Dahlberg 7.4
- Lars Ranger 7.2
- Thomas Lehne Olsen 7.1 1 goal
- Y. Ibrahimaj 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Tobias Guddal at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Sparta Praha: Olympiacos F.C. vs Sparta Praha Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League
- Lillestrøm: Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm
What was the score in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm?
Sparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrøm (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm?
Josimar Alcócer 56', Thomas Lehne Olsen 90+1'.
Did Moneyball predict Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Sparta Praha -0.50 at 1.76, and on the half-time score, 0-0 it lost.
Who was man of the match in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm?
Stian Kristiansen, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm?
M. Matoša.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.