Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti Prediction and Stats
Premier League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Spartak Moscow welcome Akron Tolyatti in Premier League action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
Spartak Moscow have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Akron Tolyatti have played 14 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 14% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 8 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Spartak Moscow are clear favourites at 73%, with the draw at 16% and Akron Tolyatti at 11%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.25 goals: 51%.
Akron Tolyatti: form and key numbers
In style Akron Tolyatti keep the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.02 a match created, 1.42 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.6).
- Shots: 12.1 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 53.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti: season averages side by side
| Spartak Moscow | Per match | Akron Tolyatti |
|---|---|---|
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 1.02 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.42 |
| – | Goals | 1.21 |
| – | Shots | 12.1 |
| – | Shots on target | 3.9 |
| – | Big chances missed | 0.5 |
| – | Pressure share % | 43.8 |
| – | Tackles | 13.1 |
| – | Fouls | 13.7 |
| – | Yellow cards | 2.9 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Akron Tolyatti
- Khetag Khosonov DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 23 · Long passer, Duel winner (top 34% of his position)
- Marat Bokoev CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 22 · Reads the game, Hard to dribble past (top 34% of his position)
Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.71 for Spartak Moscow and 1.06 for Akron Tolyatti - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 54%. Spartak Moscow have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Spartak Moscow 2-1 Akron Tolyatti
Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti: what the numbers say
- 1. Spartak Moscow win, the likeliest result 73% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.77 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti: questions and answers
When is Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in the Premier League.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
Spartak Moscow are the favourites: Spartak Moscow 73%, draw 16%, Akron Tolyatti 11%. Our prediction is Spartak Moscow 2-1 Akron Tolyatti.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.