Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense Prediction and Stats
Liga Portugal · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Sporting Lisbon welcome Moreirense to Estádio José Alvalade in Lisboa in Liga Portugal action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
Sporting Lisbon have played 11 matches in Liga Portugal this season, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 64% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 57% win rate. Moreirense have played 11 matches in Liga Portugal this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Sporting Lisbon are clear favourites at 81%, with the draw at 13% and Moreirense at 7%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.25 goals: 51%.
Sporting Lisbon: form and key numbers
In style Sporting Lisbon keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.92 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.9).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 60.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.95.
Moreirense: form and key numbers
In style Moreirense are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.85 a match created, 1.79 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.6).
- Shots: 8.7 a match, 2.9 on target.
- Possession: 37.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense: season averages side by side
| Sporting Lisbon | Per match | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| 1.92 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.85 |
| 0.88 | xG conceded | 1.79 |
| 2.18 | Goals | 1.18 |
| 15.7 | Shots | 8.7 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 2.9 |
| 2.0 | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| 70.6 | Pressure share % | 28.8 |
| 16.9 | Tackles | 16.4 |
| 12.0 | Fouls | 12.8 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and 11 measured matches.
Players to watch
Sporting Lisbon
- Sergi Altimira DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Secure passer, Ball-winner (top 2% of his position)
- Nestory Irankunda LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 64 · Chance creator, Creator (top 5% of his position)
Moreirense
- Tiago Andrade LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 47 · Draws fouls, Dribbler (top 3% of his position)
- Kevyn CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 44 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez, 28 · Sporting CP · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 72
Luis Suárez, 28, plays as a centre-forward for Sporting CP in Liga Portugal. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 72
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 98% |
| Expected goals | 0.75 / 90 | 97% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.82 / 90 | 96% |
| Shots | 3.78 / 90 | 88% |
| Shots on target | 39% | 56% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring.
- What Luis Suárez is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Luis Suárez's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense prediction
Sporting Lisbon should have more of the ball, with Moreirense likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Sporting Lisbon work the ball wide and cross; Moreirense like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.50 for Sporting Lisbon and 0.79 for Moreirense - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 51%. Sporting Lisbon have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Moreirense
Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense: what the numbers say
- 1. Sporting Lisbon win, the likeliest result 81% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 64% by the model, 3.29 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.1 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 8.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense: questions and answers
When is Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense?
Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in Liga Portugal.
Where is Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense played?
At Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa, Sporting Lisbon's home ground.
Who will win Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense?
Sporting Lisbon are the favourites: Sporting Lisbon 81%, draw 13%, Moreirense 7%. Our prediction is Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Moreirense.
Who is the player to watch in Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense?
Luis Suárez of Sporting CP: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.