Strasbourg vs Auxerre Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Ligue 1 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg · updated 2026-10-18
Strasbourg welcome Auxerre to Stade de la Meinau in Strasbourg in Ligue 1 Gameweek 9 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Strasbourg have played 7 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Auxerre have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Strasbourg are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 21% and Auxerre at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Strasbourg 2.18, Auxerre 1.58.
- Over 2.5 goals: 73% · both teams to score: 71%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Strasbourg: form and key numbers
In style Strasbourg are happy without the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 2.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.4).
- Shots: 12.1 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 44.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 86% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Auxerre: form and key numbers
In style Auxerre are happy without the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.26 a match created, 1.96 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.5).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 44.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: season averages side by side
| Strasbourg | Per match this season | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 2.7 |
| 1.23 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.26 |
| 2.05 | xG conceded | 1.96 |
| 12.1 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 5.0 | On target | 5.0 |
| 44.9 | Possession % | 44.3 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 86% | Both teams scored % | 83% |
| 2.1 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.74 | Average rating | 6.66 |
Players to watch
Strasbourg
- Pape Demba Diop CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 64 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
- Filip Jørgensen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 63 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 18% of his position)
Auxerre
- Kévin Danois DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 48 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 4% of his position)
- Naouirou Ahamada CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 44 · Dribbler, Creator (top 10% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Romain Faivre
Romain Faivre, 28 · Auxerre · AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 64
Romain Faivre, 28, plays as an attacking midfielder for Auxerre in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and key passes. Weakest in big chances created. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 64
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 63
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 2.39 / 90 | 91% |
| Key passes | 3.59 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 71% |
| Fouls won | 1.79 / 90 | 64% |
| Through balls | 0.00 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★★ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Chance creator.
- What Romain Faivre is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Romain Faivre's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Strasbourg vs Auxerre prediction
Strasbourg should have more of the ball; both like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 2.18 for Strasbourg and 1.58 for Auxerre - with over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 71%. Strasbourg have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Strasbourg 2-1 Auxerre
Strasbourg vs Auxerre betting tips
- Tip 1: Strasbourg win or draw (double chance) 73% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 73% by the model, 3.76 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 71% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Brest vs Nice Friday 23 October 2026
- Toulouse vs Troyes Saturday 24 October 2026
- Lens vs Paris Saturday 24 October 2026
- Monaco vs LOSC Lille Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rennes vs Strasbourg Sunday 25 October 2026
- Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre Sunday 25 October 2026
- Auxerre vs Le Mans Sunday 25 October 2026
- Angers SCO vs Lorient Sunday 25 October 2026
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: questions and answers
When is Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Strasbourg vs Auxerre is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 9.
Where is Strasbourg vs Auxerre played?
At Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, Strasbourg's home ground.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Strasbourg are the favourites: Strasbourg 51%, draw 21%, Auxerre 27%. Our prediction is Strasbourg 2-1 Auxerre.
Who is the player to watch in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Romain Faivre of Auxerre: a dribbling playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.