Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Ligue 1 · Saturday 17 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-17
Strasbourg welcome Paris Saint Germain to Stade de la Meinau in Strasbourg in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7 action on Saturday 17 October 2026.
Strasbourg have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Paris Saint Germain have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 18% and Strasbourg at 14%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (6.6% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Strasbourg +1.25 at 2.08, Paris Saint Germain at 1.84. The main goals line is 3.5: over 1.92, under 1.99, which gives over 51%.
Strasbourg: form and key numbers
In style Strasbourg take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.93 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.8).
- Shots: 11.5 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Paris Saint Germain: form and key numbers
In style Paris Saint Germain keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.43 a match created, 1.09 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.6).
- Shots: 21.3 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 67.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.00.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: season averages side by side
| Strasbourg | Per match | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.43 |
| 1.93 | xG conceded | 1.09 |
| 1.83 | Goals | 1.83 |
| 11.5 | Shots | 21.3 |
| 4.5 | Shots on target | 7.3 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 4.0 |
| 39.4 | Pressure share % | 79.9 |
| 16.5 | Tackles | 15.2 |
| 11.2 | Fouls | 5.8 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Strasbourg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Strasbourg 8, Paris Saint Germain 10 - 4.5 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain (February 1st 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Strasbourg won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Strasbourg | 1 – 2 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 – 3 | Strasbourg |
| 3 May 2025 | Strasbourg | 2 – 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 – 2 | Strasbourg |
Players to watch
Strasbourg
- Pape Demba Diop CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 67 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 2% of his position)
- Filip Jørgensen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 64 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 12% of his position)
Paris Saint Germain
- Fabián Ruiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 74 · Creator, Press-resistant (top 3% of his position)
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 68 · High shot volume, Chance creator (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué, 21 · Paris Saint Germain · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 76
Désiré Doué, 21, plays as a winger for Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 76
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 72
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4.50 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected goals | 0.55 / 90 | 94% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.66 / 90 | 91% |
| Fouls won | 2.81 / 90 | 88% |
| Key passes | 2.81 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Dribbler.
- What Désiré Doué is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Désiré Doué's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain prediction
Paris Saint Germain should have more of the ball, with Strasbourg likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.48 for Strasbourg and 2.05 for Paris Saint Germain - with over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 68%. Paris Saint Germain have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain betting tips
- Tip 1: Paris Saint Germain to win 68% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 68% by the model, 3.53 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 68% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: questions and answers
When is Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain is on Saturday 17 October 2026, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7.
Where is Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain played?
At Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, Strasbourg's home ground.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain are the favourites: Strasbourg 14%, draw 18%, Paris Saint Germain 68%. Our prediction is Strasbourg 1-2 Paris Saint Germain.
Who is the player to watch in Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Désiré Doué of Paris Saint Germain: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 76 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.