Torino vs Monza Prediction and Betting Tips
Serie A · Saturday 24 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Torino welcome Monza to Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Torino in Serie A action on Saturday 24 October 2026.
Torino have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Monza have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Torino are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Monza at 28%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Torino -0.25 at 1.85, Monza at 2.05. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.80, under 2.08, which gives over 54%.
Torino: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.66 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 9.8 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 0.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Monza: form and key numbers
In style Monza are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.66 a match created, 1.35 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.0).
- Shots: 14.3 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 44.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Torino vs Monza: season averages side by side
| Torino | Per match | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.66 |
| 1.66 | xG conceded | 1.35 |
| 1.17 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 9.8 | Shots | 14.3 |
| 3.2 | Shots on target | 6.0 |
| 1.7 | Big chances missed | 2.7 |
| 39.9 | Pressure share % | 47.7 |
| 14.7 | Tackles | 15.3 |
| 8.5 | Fouls | 12.5 |
| 0.7 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Torino vs Monza: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Torino have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Torino 3, Monza 1 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Monza 0-2 Torino (March 2nd 2025).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Torino won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2025 | Monza | 0 – 2 | Torino |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Torino | 1 – 1 | Monza |
Players to watch
Torino
- Kian Fitz-Jim CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 59 · Dribbler, Creator (top 6% of his position)
- Saúl Coco CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 4% of his position)
Monza
- Lorenzo Lucchesi CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 59 · Reads the game, Secure passer (top 2% of his position)
- Ebenezer Akinsanmiro CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 57 · Dribbler, Reads the game (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ardian Ismajli
Ardian Ismajli, 30 · Torino · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60
Ardian Ismajli, 30, plays as a centre-back for Torino in Serie A. Strongest for his role in clearances and interceptions. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 63
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Clearances | 8.48 / 90 | 91% |
| Interceptions | 2.12 / 90 | 86% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.33 / 90 | 81% |
| Duels won | 4.85 / 90 | 63% |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 54% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
Scout's notes: Box defender, Reads the game, Dominant in the air.
- What Ardian Ismajli is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ardian Ismajli's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Torino vs Monza prediction
Torino should have more of the ball, with Monza likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Monza work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.65 for Torino and 1.47 for Monza - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 63%. Torino have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Torino 2-1 Monza
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Torino vs Monza betting tips
- Tip 1: Torino win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.12 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Serie A previews
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- Monza vs Cagliari Monday 19 October 2026
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Torino vs Monza: questions and answers
When is Torino vs Monza?
Torino vs Monza is on Saturday 24 October 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Torino vs Monza played?
At Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Torino's home ground.
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
Torino are the favourites: Torino 44%, draw 28%, Monza 28%. Our prediction is Torino 2-1 Monza.
Who is the player to watch in Torino vs Monza?
Ardian Ismajli of Torino: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Monza?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.