Torino 2-1 Udinese: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 6 · Monday 12 October 2026 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino · referee V. Crezzini · full time
Full time: Torino 2-1 Udinese
Torino won 2-1 at home to Udinese in Serie A Matchday 6 on Monday 12 October 2026. The goals: Daniel Bragança 36', Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 43', Sandro Kulenović 67'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Torino won it
The opening goal came in the 36th minute: Daniel Bragança for Torino. Udinese levelled at 1-1 in the 43rd minute through Jurgen Ekkelenkamp. Sandro Kulenović made it 2-1 to Torino in the 67th minute.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, V. Crezzini, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Torino and 1 to Udinese.
Torino: I. Abate, 3-4-2-1 · Udinese: K. Runjaic, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A Torino win was the estimate's call at 39%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 2-1 the real one.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 61%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.80 for Torino and 1.74 for Udinese.
Torino scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Udinese created the better chances, 1.74 xG to 0.80, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Torino to create more, and Udinese did.
Torino had 4 shots on target, Udinese 1.
Udinese had 62% of the ball, but Torino took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Torino came into it with 6 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.07 expected goals for and 1.66 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Udinese came into it with 6 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.21 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 17% of their matches.
Torino vs Udinese: the match in numbers
| Torino | Match statistics | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| 38% | Ball possession | 62% |
| 0.80 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.74 |
| 12 | Total shots | 15 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Big chances | 0 |
| 403 | Total passes | 643 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 91% |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 10 |
| 7 | Offsides | 0 |
| 17 | Tackles | 14 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (Udinese), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Torino
- Pietro Comuzzo 7.3
- Daniel Bragança 7.3 1 goal
- Emirhan İlkhan 7.0
- Sandro Kulenović 7.0 1 goal
- Saúl Coco 6.9
Udinese
- Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 7.8 1 goal
- Giorgi Chakvetadze 7.3
- Oumar Solet 7.2
- Enzo Ebosse 6.9
- David Alaba 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Maduka Okoye at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Torino: Parma vs Torino Monday 19 October 2026 · Serie A
- Udinese: Udinese vs Lecce Sunday 18 October 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Torino vs Udinese
What was the score in Torino vs Udinese?
Torino 2-1 Udinese (half-time 1-1), Serie A, Monday 12 October 2026.
Who scored in Torino vs Udinese?
Daniel Bragança 36', Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 43', Sandro Kulenović 67'.
Did Moneyball predict Torino vs Udinese correctly?
A Torino win was the estimate's call at 39%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 2-1 the real one.
Who was man of the match in Torino vs Udinese?
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Torino vs Udinese?
V. Crezzini.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.