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Torino 2–1 Udinese: Result, Report and Stats

This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.

Result: Torino 2 – 1 Udinese

Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in the Match Centre.

Torino welcome Udinese to Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Torino in Serie A action on Tuesday 13 October 2026.

Torino have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Udinese have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.

On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Torino 40%, the draw 29%, Udinese 31%.

The odds

Torino2.2540%
Draw3.1429%
Udinese2.9531%

Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Torino 0 at 1.69, Udinese at 2.26. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.86, under 2.02, which gives over 52%.

Torino: form and key numbers

Udinese: form and key numbers

In style Udinese play long and direct, cross a lot.

Torino vs Udinese: season averages side by side

TorinoPer matchUdinese
1.07Expected goals (xG)1.21
1.66xG conceded1.72
1.17Goals1.50
9.8Shots14.3
3.2Shots on target4.2
1.7Big chances missed1.0
39.9Pressure share %49.3
14.7Tackles14.2
8.5Fouls11.2
0.7Yellow cards2.0

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.

Torino vs Udinese: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 5 meetings Torino won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Oct 2026Torino2 – 1Udinese
2 May 2026Udinese2 – 0Torino
7 Jan 2026Torino1 – 2Udinese
23 Apr 2025Torino2 – 0Udinese
29 Dec 2024Udinese2 – 2Torino

Players to watch

Torino

Udinese

Scouting spotlight: Ardian Ismajli

Ardian Ismajli, 30 · Torino · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60

Ardian Ismajli, 30, plays as a centre-back for Torino in Serie A. Strongest for his role in clearances and interceptions. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Aerial duels won 81Clearances 92Interceptions 86Tackles 28Blocked shots 45Duels won 61Passes 46Pass accuracy 55Long balls 49Dribbled past 30

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 62
  • CB · Centre-back Natural, 60

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Clearances8.48 / 9092%
Interceptions2.12 / 9086%
Aerial duels won3.33 / 9081%
Duels won4.85 / 9061%
Pass accuracy90%55%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
  • ★★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
  • ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back

Scout's notes: Box defender, Reads the game, Dominant in the air.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Ardian Ismajli is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Ardian Ismajli's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Torino vs Udinese prediction

Torino should have more of the ball; Udinese work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.66 for Torino and 1.34 for Udinese - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 60%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.

Prediction: Torino 1-1 Udinese

The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre

Torino vs Udinese betting tips

  1. Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
  2. Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 3.00 goals expected
  3. Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
  4. Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.7 cards a match between them
  5. Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.8 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

Open Torino vs Udinese in the Match Centre Follow it live

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Torino vs Udinese: questions and answers

When is Torino vs Udinese?

Torino vs Udinese is on Tuesday 13 October 2026, in Serie A.

Where is Torino vs Udinese played?

At Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Torino's home ground.

Who will win Torino vs Udinese?

It is close: Torino 40%, draw 29%, Udinese 31%. Our prediction is Torino 1-1 Udinese.

Who is the player to watch in Torino vs Udinese?

Ardian Ismajli of Torino: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Torino vs Udinese?

Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.