Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 7
Premier League · Monday 19 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-17
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Coventry City to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London in Premier League Gameweek 7 action on Monday 19 October 2026.
Tottenham Hotspur have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Coventry City have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Tottenham Hotspur are clear favourites at 63%, with the draw at 21% and Coventry City at 16%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Tottenham Hotspur -1 at 1.78, Coventry City at 2.13. The main goals line is 3: over 1.93, under 1.95, which gives over 50%.
Tottenham Hotspur: form and key numbers
In style Tottenham Hotspur keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.15 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.9).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 58.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Coventry City: form and key numbers
In style Coventry City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.98 a match created, 1.79 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.9).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 38.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 17% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: season averages side by side
| Tottenham Hotspur | Per match | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.98 |
| 1.52 | xG conceded | 1.79 |
| 0.50 | Goals | 0.83 |
| 13.8 | Shots | 10.0 |
| 3.7 | Shots on target | 3.7 |
| 2.0 | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| 56.5 | Pressure share % | 34.1 |
| 18.2 | Tackles | 9.7 |
| 13.7 | Fouls | 10.5 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Players to watch
Tottenham Hotspur
- Jan Paul van Hecke CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 61 · Ball circulator, Blocks shots (top 5% of his position)
- Andrew Robertson LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 61 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
Coventry City
- Bobby Thomas CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 55 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 2% of his position)
- Jay Dasilva LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Dribbler, Hard to dribble past (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Savinho
Savinho, 22 · Tottenham Hotspur · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 80
Savinho, 22, plays as a winger for Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 80
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 76
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 4.89 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 95% |
| Big chances created | 0.82 / 90 | 94% |
| Key passes | 2.99 / 90 | 91% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.63 / 90 | 91% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Creator, Big-chance creator.
- What Savinho is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City prediction
Tottenham Hotspur should have more of the ball, with Coventry City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Tottenham Hotspur like to take players on; Coventry City are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.36 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.05 for Coventry City - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 49%. Tottenham Hotspur have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Coventry City
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City betting tips
- Tip 1: Tottenham Hotspur to win 63% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 57% by the model, 2.40 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 10.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Premier League previews
- Everton vs Chelsea Saturday 17 October 2026
- Brentford vs Liverpool Saturday 17 October 2026
- Fulham vs Hull City Saturday 17 October 2026
- Manchester City vs Ipswich Town Saturday 17 October 2026
- Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Saturday 17 October 2026
- Bournemouth AFC vs Sunderland Sunday 18 October 2026
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: questions and answers
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City is on Monday 19 October 2026, in Premier League Gameweek 7.
Where is Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City played?
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Tottenham Hotspur's home ground.
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Tottenham Hotspur are the favourites: Tottenham Hotspur 63%, draw 21%, Coventry City 16%. Our prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Coventry City.
Who is the player to watch in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Savinho of Tottenham Hotspur: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 80 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.