Trabzonspor vs Hearts Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 2
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon · updated 2026-10-17
Trabzonspor welcome Hearts to Papara Park in Trabzon in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Trabzonspor have played 2 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 0.0 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate. Hearts have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Hearts are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 22% and Trabzonspor at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Trabzonspor 1.26, Hearts 2.04.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 63%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (2 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Trabzonspor: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.93 a match created (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 2.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Hearts: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 2.88 a match created (goals minus xG: -3.6).
- Shots: 16.3 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 38.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Trabzonspor vs Hearts: season averages side by side
| Trabzonspor | Per match this season | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matches | 3 |
| 0.0 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 2.5 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 0.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.88 |
| 15.0 | Shots | 16.3 |
| 2.5 | On target | 6.0 |
| 49.0 | Possession % | 38.3 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 0% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 5.5 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.94 |
Trabzonspor vs Hearts prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.26 for Trabzonspor and 2.04 for Hearts - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 63%. Hearts have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Trabzonspor 1-2 Hearts
Trabzonspor vs Hearts betting tips
- Tip 1: Hearts win or draw (double chance) 77% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 64% by the model, 3.30 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 8.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Trabzonspor vs Hearts: questions and answers
When is Trabzonspor vs Hearts?
Trabzonspor vs Hearts is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2.
Where is Trabzonspor vs Hearts played?
At Papara Park, Trabzon, Trabzonspor's home ground.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Hearts?
Hearts are the favourites: Trabzonspor 23%, draw 22%, Hearts 55%. Our prediction is Trabzonspor 1-2 Hearts.
How many goals will there be in Trabzonspor vs Hearts?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.