Troyes 0–2 Marseille: Result, Report and Stats
Ligue 1 · Monday 12 October 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-17
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Troyes 0 – 2 Marseille
- Before kick-off the prices, margin removed, gave Marseille win 47%. The result went the way the market leaned.
- Asian handicap Troyes +0.5: lost for Troyes backers.
- Goals line 3: 2 goals, so the over lost and the under won.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in the Match Centre.
Troyes welcome Marseille to Stade de l'Aube in Troyes in Ligue 1 action on Monday 12 October 2026.
Troyes have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Marseille have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Marseille are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 26% and Troyes at 27%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.0% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Troyes +0.5 at 1.95, Marseille at 1.95. The main goals line is 3: over 2.02, under 1.86, which gives over 48%.
Troyes: form and key numbers
In style Troyes are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.41 a match created, 1.66 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.5).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 38.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Marseille: form and key numbers
In style Marseille keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 1.94 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 11.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 57.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Troyes vs Marseille: season averages side by side
| Troyes | Per match | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.55 |
| 1.66 | xG conceded | 1.94 |
| 0.67 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 14.8 | Shots | 11.8 |
| 2.8 | Shots on target | 4.3 |
| 1.0 | Big chances missed | 1.7 |
| 51.9 | Pressure share % | 47.9 |
| 19.2 | Tackles | 13.3 |
| 12.3 | Fouls | 10.5 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Troyes vs Marseille: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Troyes have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of the last 1 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Troyes 0, Marseille 2 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Troyes 0-2 Marseille (October 11th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings Troyes won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Troyes | 0 – 2 | Marseille |
Players to watch
Troyes
- Anis Ouzenadji LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 64 · Dribbler, Duel winner (top 19% of his position)
- Jérémy Le Douaron CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 62 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 7% of his position)
Marseille
- Emerson LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 67 · Creator, Crosser (top 5% of his position)
- Jeffrey de Lange GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 11% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lucas Maronnier
Lucas Maronnier, 26 · Troyes · RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 67
Lucas Maronnier, 26, plays as a wing-back for Troyes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and accurate crosses. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 69
- RWB · Wing-back Natural, 67
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 93% |
| Accurate crosses | 2.46 / 90 | 88% |
| Tackles | 2.74 / 90 | 73% |
| Key passes | 2.19 / 90 | 71% |
| Duels won | 6.02 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past, Crosser.
- What Lucas Maronnier is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lucas Maronnier's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Troyes vs Marseille prediction
Marseille should have more of the ball, with Troyes likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Troyes are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Marseille like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.43 for Troyes and 1.62 for Marseille - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 62%. Marseille have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Troyes 1-2 Marseille
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Troyes vs Marseille betting tips
- Tip 1: Marseille win or draw (double chance) 73% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 3.05 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026
- Lille vs Brest Saturday 17 October 2026
- Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026
- Angers vs Marseille Sunday 18 October 2026
- Le Havre vs Auxerre Sunday 18 October 2026
- Lorient vs AS Monaco Sunday 18 October 2026
Troyes vs Marseille: questions and answers
When is Troyes vs Marseille?
Troyes vs Marseille is on Monday 12 October 2026, in Ligue 1.
Where is Troyes vs Marseille played?
At Stade de l'Aube, Troyes, Troyes's home ground.
Who will win Troyes vs Marseille?
Marseille are the favourites: Troyes 27%, draw 26%, Marseille 47%. Our prediction is Troyes 1-2 Marseille.
Who is the player to watch in Troyes vs Marseille?
Lucas Maronnier of Troyes: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Troyes vs Marseille?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
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