Troyes 0-2 Olympique Marseille: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 6 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Troyes · referee G. Paradis · full time
Full time: Troyes 0-2 Olympique Marseille
Troyes 0-2 Olympique Marseille: Olympique Marseille took the points in Ligue 1 Matchday 6 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas. The goals: Amine Harit 50', Himad Abdelli 90+8'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Olympique Marseille won it
Olympique Marseille struck first through Amine Harit in the 50th minute, set up by Emerson. Himad Abdelli from the penalty spot made it 0-2 to Olympique Marseille in the 90th minute (+8).
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, G. Paradis, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Troyes and 1 to Olympique Marseille.
Troyes: S. Dumont, 4-2-3-1 · Olympique Marseille: B. Génésio, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made an Olympique Marseille win the most likely outcome at 38%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-1 rather than 0-2.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.2 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 65%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.20 for Troyes and 1.07 for Olympique Marseille.
Troyes scored about 1.2 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Troyes had 3 shots on target, Olympique Marseille 2.
Olympique Marseille had 63% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Troyes came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.41 expected goals for and 1.66 against, and had won 17% of their matches.
Olympique Marseille came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.55 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Troyes vs Olympique Marseille: the match in numbers
| Troyes | Match statistics | Olympique Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 37% | Ball possession | 63% |
| 1.20 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.07 |
| 15 | Total shots | 5 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 2 | Big chances | 2 |
| 350 | Total passes | 644 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 17 | Tackles | 14 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jeffrey de Lange (Olympique Marseille), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Troyes
- Jérémy Le Douaron 7.2
- Lucas Maronnier 7.0
- Adrien Monfray 7.0
- Antoine Mille 7.0
- Mouhamed Diop 6.8
Olympique Marseille
- Jeffrey de Lange 7.6
- Himad Abdelli 7.5 1 goal
- Kelyann Bezahaf 7.5
- Nayef Aguerd 7.3
- Amine Harit 7.2 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Patrick Beach at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Troyes: Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026 · Ligue 1
- Olympique Marseille: Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille Sunday 18 October 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Troyes vs Olympique Marseille
What was the score in Troyes vs Olympique Marseille?
Troyes 0-2 Olympique Marseille (half-time 0-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 11 October 2026.
Who scored in Troyes vs Olympique Marseille?
Amine Harit 50', Himad Abdelli 90+8'.
Did Moneyball predict Troyes vs Olympique Marseille correctly?
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made an Olympique Marseille win the most likely outcome at 38%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-1 rather than 0-2.
Who was man of the match in Troyes vs Olympique Marseille?
Jeffrey de Lange, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Troyes vs Olympique Marseille?
G. Paradis.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.