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TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş

TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş: Beşiktaş took the points in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at PreZero Arena. The goals: Amir Murillo 60', Fisnik Asllani 68', Hyeon-gyu Oh 72', Hyeon-gyu Oh 79', Koki Machida 87'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Beşiktaş won it

The opening goal came in the 60th minute: Amir Murillo for Beşiktaş, set up by Hyeon-gyu Oh. TSG Hoffenheim levelled at 1-1 in the 68th minute through Fisnik Asllani, set up by Tim Lemperle. Hyeon-gyu Oh made it 1-2 to Beşiktaş in the 72nd minute, set up by Junior Olaitan. Hyeon-gyu Oh made it 1-3 to Beşiktaş in the 79th minute, set up by İlhan Fakılı. Koki Machida made it 2-3 to TSG Hoffenheim in the 87th minute, set up by Vladimír Coufal.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Hyeon-gyu Oh scored twice.

The referee, L. Visser, showed 6 yellow cards: 5 to TSG Hoffenheim and 1 to Beşiktaş.

TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 4-2-3-1 · Beşiktaş: V. Italiano, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was TSG Hoffenheim -0.50 at 1.92, and on 2-3 it lost.

The estimate's most likely result was a TSG Hoffenheim win at 49%; a Beşiktaş win, at 28%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 66%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

TSG Hoffenheim had 3 shots on target, Beşiktaş 5.

TSG Hoffenheim had 54% of the ball, but Beşiktaş took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Beşiktaş came into it with 8 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and – against, and had won 88% of their matches.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş: the match in numbers

TSG HoffenheimMatch statisticsBeşiktaş
54%Ball possession46%
13Total shots19
3Shots on target5
3Big chances6
486Total passes420
79%Pass accuracy79%
7Corners5
18Fouls8
16Tackles17
2Saves1
5Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Hyeon-gyu Oh (Beşiktaş), rated 9.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.

TSG Hoffenheim

Beşiktaş

The lowest-rated starter was Oliver Baumann at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş

What was the score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?

TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?

Amir Murillo 60', Fisnik Asllani 68', Hyeon-gyu Oh 72', Hyeon-gyu Oh 79', Koki Machida 87'.

Did Moneyball predict TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was TSG Hoffenheim -0.50 at 1.92, and on 2-3 it lost.

Who was man of the match in TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?

Hyeon-gyu Oh, rated 9.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?

L. Visser.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.