TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · PreZero Arena, Sinsheim · referee L. Visser · full time
Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş
TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş: Beşiktaş took the points in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at PreZero Arena. The goals: Amir Murillo 60', Fisnik Asllani 68', Hyeon-gyu Oh 72', Hyeon-gyu Oh 79', Koki Machida 87'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Beşiktaş won it
The opening goal came in the 60th minute: Amir Murillo for Beşiktaş, set up by Hyeon-gyu Oh. TSG Hoffenheim levelled at 1-1 in the 68th minute through Fisnik Asllani, set up by Tim Lemperle. Hyeon-gyu Oh made it 1-2 to Beşiktaş in the 72nd minute, set up by Junior Olaitan. Hyeon-gyu Oh made it 1-3 to Beşiktaş in the 79th minute, set up by İlhan Fakılı. Koki Machida made it 2-3 to TSG Hoffenheim in the 87th minute, set up by Vladimír Coufal.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Hyeon-gyu Oh scored twice.
The referee, L. Visser, showed 6 yellow cards: 5 to TSG Hoffenheim and 1 to Beşiktaş.
TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 4-2-3-1 · Beşiktaş: V. Italiano, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was TSG Hoffenheim -0.50 at 1.92, and on 2-3 it lost.
The estimate's most likely result was a TSG Hoffenheim win at 49%; a Beşiktaş win, at 28%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 66%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
TSG Hoffenheim had 3 shots on target, Beşiktaş 5.
TSG Hoffenheim had 54% of the ball, but Beşiktaş took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Beşiktaş came into it with 8 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and – against, and had won 88% of their matches.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş: the match in numbers
| TSG Hoffenheim | Match statistics | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Ball possession | 46% |
| 13 | Total shots | 19 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 3 | Big chances | 6 |
| 486 | Total passes | 420 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 16 | Tackles | 17 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Hyeon-gyu Oh (Beşiktaş), rated 9.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.
TSG Hoffenheim
- Fisnik Asllani 7.4 1 goal
- Koki Machida 7.4 1 goal
- Leon Avdullahu 6.9
- Bernardo 6.8
- Vladimír Coufal 6.7 1 assist
Beşiktaş
- Hyeon-gyu Oh 9.9 2 goals, 1 assist
- Amir Murillo 7.6 1 goal
- Kassoum Ouattara 7.1
- İlhan Fakılı 7.1 1 assist
- Fabio Miretti 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Oliver Baumann at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- TSG Hoffenheim: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Sunday 18 October 2026 · Bundesliga
- Beşiktaş: Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş
What was the score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Beşiktaş (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
Amir Murillo 60', Fisnik Asllani 68', Hyeon-gyu Oh 72', Hyeon-gyu Oh 79', Koki Machida 87'.
Did Moneyball predict TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was TSG Hoffenheim -0.50 at 1.92, and on 2-3 it lost.
Who was man of the match in TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
Hyeon-gyu Oh, rated 9.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
L. Visser.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.