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FC Twente 1-0 Thun: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: FC Twente 1-0 Thun

FC Twente beat Thun 1-0 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at De Grolsch Veste. The goals: Ramiz Zerrouki 65'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How FC Twente won it

The opening goal came in the 65th minute: Ramiz Zerrouki for FC Twente, set up by Daouda Weidmann.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Patrik Kristal of Thun was sent off in the 60th minute. The referee, G. Nuza, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to FC Twente and 1 to Thun.

FC Twente: J. van den Brom, 4-2-3-1 · Thun: G. Privitelli, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Twente Win at 1.50, and on the half-time score, 0-0 it lost.

The estimate's most likely result was a FC Twente win at 78%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (10%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.7 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 71%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 54%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

FC Twente had 5 shots on target, Thun 0.

FC Twente had 73% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

FC Twente came into it with 5 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.22 expected goals for and – against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Thun came into it with 1 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.23 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

FC Twente vs Thun: the match in numbers

FC TwenteMatch statisticsThun
73%Ball possession27%
22Total shots6
5Shots on target0
3Big chances0
672Total passes250
87%Pass accuracy69%
6Corners1
6Fouls19
22Tackles21
0Saves4
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ramiz Zerrouki (FC Twente), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

FC Twente

Thun

The lowest-rated starter was Patrik Kristal at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about FC Twente vs Thun

What was the score in FC Twente vs Thun?

FC Twente 1-0 Thun (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in FC Twente vs Thun?

Ramiz Zerrouki 65'.

Did Moneyball predict FC Twente vs Thun correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Twente Win at 1.50, and on the half-time score, 0-0 it lost.

Who was man of the match in FC Twente vs Thun?

Ramiz Zerrouki, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed FC Twente vs Thun?

G. Nuza.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.