Venezia 1-0 Napoli: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Venezia won it

The opening goal came in the 49th minute: Akor Adams for Venezia, set up by Simon Sohm.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, J. Sacchi, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Venezia and 0 to Napoli. Kevin De Bruyne missed a penalty for Napoli in the 68 minute.

Venezia: D. Nicola, 3-5-2 · Napoli: M. Allegri, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Venezia +0.75 at 1.96, and on 1-0 it won.

The estimate's most likely result was a Napoli win at 51%; a Venezia win, at 25%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.0 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Napoli win at 55%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.40 for Venezia and 0.92 for Napoli.

Venezia scored about 1.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Napoli to create more, and Venezia did.

Venezia had 4 shots on target, Napoli 10.

Venezia's goalkeeper made 9 saves.

Napoli had 71% of the ball, but Venezia took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Venezia came into it with 7 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 2.12 against, and had won 14% of their matches.

Napoli came into it with 7 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.85 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 43% of their matches.

Venezia vs Napoli: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Filip Stanković (Venezia), rated 9.6 by Sportmonks.

Venezia

• Filip Stanković 9.6
• Akor Adams 7.9 1 goal
• Juan Jesus 7.4
• Simon Sohm 7.2 1 assist
• Redouane Halhal 7.1

Napoli

• Alisson Santos 7.6
• Scott McTominay 7.5
• Benoît Badiashile 7.3
• Giovanni Di Lorenzo 7.2
• Rasmus Højlund 7.2

The lowest-rated starter was Lorenzo Lucca at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Venezia: Genoa vs Venezia Sunday 25 October 2026 · Serie A
• Napoli: Napoli vs Bodø / Glimt Tuesday 20 October 2026 · Champions League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Venezia vs Napoli

What was the score in Venezia vs Napoli?

Venezia 1-0 Napoli (half-time 0-0), Serie A, Saturday 17 October 2026.

Who scored in Venezia vs Napoli?

Akor Adams 49'.

Did Moneyball predict Venezia vs Napoli correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Venezia +0.75 at 1.96, and on 1-0 it won.

Who was man of the match in Venezia vs Napoli?

Filip Stanković, rated 9.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Venezia vs Napoli?

J. Sacchi.