Venezia vs Udinese Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 11
Serie A · Friday 6 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia · updated 2026-10-23
Venezia welcome Udinese to Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Venezia in Serie A Gameweek 11 action on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Venezia have played 7 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 14% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Udinese have played 7 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 14% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Venezia are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 24% and Udinese at 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Venezia 1.81, Udinese 1.56.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 67%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Venezia: form and key numbers
In style Venezia keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.58 a match created, 2.16 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.1).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 54.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Udinese: form and key numbers
In style Udinese cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 14.3 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 51.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Venezia vs Udinese: season averages side by side
| Venezia | Per match this season | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.58 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.10 |
| 2.16 | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| 14.0 | Shots | 14.3 |
| 4.3 | On target | 3.9 |
| 54.1 | Possession % | 51.1 |
| 14% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 43% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 3.7 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 2.9 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.73 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Venezia
- Filip Stanković GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 64 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 5% of his position)
- Gianluca Busio DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 59 · Long passer, Ball-winner (top 14% of his position)
Udinese
- Mërgim Vojvoda RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Oumar Solet CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 53 · Reads the game, Ball circulator (top 19% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: John Yeboah
John Yeboah, 26 · Venezia · SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 70
John Yeboah, 26, plays as a second striker for Venezia in Serie A. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected goals. Weakest in assists. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 70
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 66
- LW · Winger Competent, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 2.02 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.53 / 90 | 91% |
| Shots | 3.54 / 90 | 91% |
| Key passes | 2.02 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.32 / 90 | 85% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume.
- What John Yeboah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open John Yeboah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Venezia vs Udinese prediction
Venezia should have more of the ball; Udinese work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.81 for Venezia and 1.56 for Udinese - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 67%. Venezia have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Venezia 2-1 Udinese
Venezia vs Udinese betting tips
- Tip 1: Venezia win or draw (double chance) 67% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.37 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 67% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Serie A previews
- Torino vs Monza Friday 23 October 2026
- Lazio vs Parma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Lecce vs Juventus Sunday 25 October 2026
- Udinese vs AC Milan Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sassuolo vs Lazio Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Torino vs Como Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Roma vs Cagliari Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Venezia vs Inter Wednesday 28 October 2026
Venezia vs Udinese: questions and answers
When is Venezia vs Udinese?
Venezia vs Udinese is on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 11.
Where is Venezia vs Udinese played?
At Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia, Venezia's home ground.
Who will win Venezia vs Udinese?
Venezia are the favourites: Venezia 43%, draw 24%, Udinese 33%. Our prediction is Venezia 2-1 Udinese.
Who is the player to watch in Venezia vs Udinese?
John Yeboah of Venezia: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Udinese?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.