VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Bundesliga · Friday 23 October 2026 · 18:30 UTC · MHPArena, Stuttgart · updated 2026-10-17
VfB Stuttgart welcome Borussia Mönchengladbach to MHPArena in Stuttgart in Bundesliga Gameweek 7 action on Friday 23 October 2026, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
VfB Stuttgart have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Borussia Mönchengladbach have played 5 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 3.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, VfB Stuttgart are clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 18% and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 20%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 2.67, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.54.
- Over 2.5 goals: 79% · both teams to score: 74%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, are strong in the air, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.94 a match created, 2.08 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.6).
- Shots: 17.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Mönchengladbach are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 2.83 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: season averages side by side
| VfB Stuttgart | Per match this season | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 3.6 |
| 1.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 2.08 | xG conceded | 2.83 |
| 17.2 | Shots | 16.4 |
| 5.8 | On target | 4.8 |
| 54.3 | Possession % | 48.4 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 6.7 | Corners | 6.6 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 6.90 | Average rating | 6.57 |
Players to watch
VfB Stuttgart
- Fabian Bredlow GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 69 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 4% of his position)
- Jeff Chabot CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 2% of his position)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Moritz Nicolas GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 50 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Philipp Sander DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 46 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 84
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and accurate crosses. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 84
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 81
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 80
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.54 / 90 | 99% |
| Accurate crosses | 3.08 / 90 | 96% |
| Key passes | 3.08 / 90 | 96% |
| Interceptions | 1.85 / 90 | 91% |
| Tackles | 3.08 / 90 | 88% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Creator, Crosser, Chance creator.
- What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
VfB Stuttgart should have more of the ball, with Borussia Mönchengladbach likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals - 2.67 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.54 for Borussia Mönchengladbach - with over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 74%. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach betting tips
- Tip 1: VfB Stuttgart to win 61% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 79% by the model, 4.21 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 74% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: questions and answers
When is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is on Friday 23 October 2026, kick-off 18:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 7.
Where is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
At MHPArena, Stuttgart, VfB Stuttgart's home ground.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart are the favourites: VfB Stuttgart 61%, draw 18%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 20%. Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Who is the player to watch in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 84 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 79%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.