VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction and Betting Tips
Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
VfB Stuttgart welcome Borussia Mönchengladbach to MHPArena in Stuttgart in Bundesliga action on Saturday 24 October 2026.
VfB Stuttgart have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Borussia Mönchengladbach have played 5 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 3.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, VfB Stuttgart are clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 18% and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 16%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.5% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is VfB Stuttgart -1.5 at 1.99, Borussia Mönchengladbach at 1.92. The main goals line is 3.75: over 1.94, under 1.94, which gives over 50%.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.94 a match created, 1.90 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.6).
- Shots: 17.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Mönchengladbach are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 2.83 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: season averages side by side
| VfB Stuttgart | Per match | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 1.90 | xG conceded | 2.83 |
| 1.33 | Goals | 1.40 |
| 17.2 | Shots | 16.4 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 4.8 |
| 3.5 | Big chances missed | 0.8 |
| 54.8 | Pressure share % | 35.8 |
| 14.2 | Tackles | 14.6 |
| 9.8 | Fouls | 15.2 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 5 measured matches.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- VfB Stuttgart have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: VfB Stuttgart 8, Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 2.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart (January 25th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings VfB Stuttgart won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 – 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 30 Aug 2025 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 0 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 1 Feb 2025 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 – 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
Players to watch
VfB Stuttgart
- Bilal El Khannouss AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 71 · Creator, Big-chance creator (top 6% of his position)
- Jeff Chabot CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 2% of his position)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Moritz Nicolas GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 50 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 2% of his position)
- Philipp Sander DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 46 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 83
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and accurate crosses. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 83
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 81
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 79
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.54 / 90 | 99% |
| Accurate crosses | 3.08 / 90 | 96% |
| Key passes | 3.08 / 90 | 96% |
| Interceptions | 1.85 / 90 | 90% |
| Tackles | 3.08 / 90 | 89% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Crosser, Chance creator.
- What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
VfB Stuttgart should have more of the ball, with Borussia Mönchengladbach likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals - 2.66 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.50 for Borussia Mönchengladbach - with over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 73%. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach betting tips
- Tip 1: VfB Stuttgart to win 66% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 78% by the model, 4.16 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 73% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Match Centre Follow it live
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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: questions and answers
When is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Bundesliga.
Where is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
At MHPArena, Stuttgart, VfB Stuttgart's home ground.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart are the favourites: VfB Stuttgart 66%, draw 18%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 16%. Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Who is the player to watch in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 83 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 78%.
Tags
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