VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Bundesliga · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · MHPArena, Stuttgart · updated 2026-10-24
VfB Stuttgart welcome Werder Bremen to MHPArena in Stuttgart in Bundesliga Gameweek 9 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
VfB Stuttgart have played 7 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Werder Bremen have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, VfB Stuttgart are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 23% and Werder Bremen at 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 1.92, Werder Bremen 1.64.
- Over 2.5 goals: 69% · both teams to score: 69%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.04 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.3).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 56.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Werder Bremen: form and key numbers
In style Werder Bremen play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.40 a match created, 1.61 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.6).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 6.8 on target.
- Possession: 47.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: season averages side by side
| VfB Stuttgart | Per match this season | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 2.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.40 |
| 1.99 | xG conceded | 1.61 |
| 16.9 | Shots | 14.0 |
| 5.7 | On target | 6.8 |
| 56.6 | Possession % | 47.3 |
| 14% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 6.6 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 6.89 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
VfB Stuttgart
- Jeff Chabot CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
- Bilal El Khannouss AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 69 · Creator, Big-chance creator (top 6% of his position)
Werder Bremen
- Niclas Füllkrug CF · Pressing forward · Moneyball Score 72 · Accurate shooter, Clinical finisher (top 1% of his position)
- Youri Regeer DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 70 · Ball-winner, Hard to dribble past (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 85
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and duels won. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 85
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 83
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 81
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.46 / 90 | 99% |
| Duels won | 7.33 / 90 | 96% |
| Accurate crosses | 2.56 / 90 | 95% |
| Interceptions | 1.88 / 90 | 95% |
| Key passes | 2.73 / 90 | 92% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Duel winner, Crosser.
- What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction
VfB Stuttgart should have more of the ball, with Werder Bremen likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; VfB Stuttgart are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Werder Bremen go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 1.92 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.64 for Werder Bremen - with over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 69%. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen betting tips
- Tip 1: VfB Stuttgart win or draw (double chance) 67% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 69% by the model, 3.56 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 69% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: questions and answers
When is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 9.
Where is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen played?
At MHPArena, Stuttgart, VfB Stuttgart's home ground.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
VfB Stuttgart are the favourites: VfB Stuttgart 44%, draw 23%, Werder Bremen 33%. Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen.
Who is the player to watch in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 85 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.