VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Werder Bremen: Result, Report and Stats
Bundesliga · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: VfB Stuttgart 1 – 0 Werder Bremen
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave VfB Stuttgart win 50%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 1 goal in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
VfB Stuttgart welcome Werder Bremen to MHPArena in Stuttgart in Bundesliga action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
VfB Stuttgart have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Werder Bremen have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 44% of them. Away from home they average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, VfB Stuttgart are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 23% and Werder Bremen at 27%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.5 goals: 50%.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.93 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 52.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Werder Bremen: form and key numbers
In style Werder Bremen play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.63 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.3).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 47.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 78% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: season averages side by side
| VfB Stuttgart | Per match | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.63 |
| 1.99 | xG conceded | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | Goals | 1.89 |
| 16.2 | Shots | 15.7 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 6.4 |
| 2.7 | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| 50.5 | Pressure share % | 46.7 |
| 13.2 | Tackles | 21.0 |
| 9.7 | Fouls | 10.7 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 9 and 9 measured matches.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- VfB Stuttgart have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: VfB Stuttgart 9, Werder Bremen 5 - 2.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen (November 7th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings VfB Stuttgart won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 0 | Werder Bremen |
| 26 Apr 2026 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 1 | Werder Bremen |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Werder Bremen | 0 – 4 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 13 Apr 2025 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 2 | Werder Bremen |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Werder Bremen | 2 – 2 | VfB Stuttgart |
Players to watch
VfB Stuttgart
- Maximilian Mittelstädt LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 80 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
- Jeff Chabot CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 77 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Werder Bremen
- Youri Regeer DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 71 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 14% of his position)
- Amos Pieper CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 65 · Disciplined, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Niclas Füllkrug
Niclas Füllkrug, 33 · Werder Bremen · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 81
Niclas Füllkrug, 33, plays as a centre-forward for Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in shots on target and aerial duels won. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 81
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 73
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots on target | 61% | 95% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.86 / 90 | 92% |
| Shots | 3.98 / 90 | 89% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.73 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected goals | 0.63 / 90 | 84% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Accurate shooter, Dominant in the air, High shot volume.
⚠ 9 goals from only 5.2 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Niclas Füllkrug is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Niclas Füllkrug's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction
VfB Stuttgart should have more of the ball, with Werder Bremen likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.84 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.65 for Werder Bremen - with over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 69%. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: what the numbers say
- 1. VfB Stuttgart unbeaten (win or draw) 73% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 68% by the model, 3.49 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 69% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 2.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: questions and answers
When is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in the Bundesliga.
Where is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen played?
At MHPArena, Stuttgart, VfB Stuttgart's home ground.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
VfB Stuttgart are the favourites: VfB Stuttgart 50%, draw 23%, Werder Bremen 27%. Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen.
Who is the player to watch in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Niclas Füllkrug of Werder Bremen: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 81 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.