Viking 3–3 Bayern Munich: Result, Report and Stats
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-17
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Viking 3 – 3 Bayern Munich
- Before kick-off the prices, margin removed, gave the draw 10%. The market had leaned to a Bayern Munich win (83%); the result went against it.
- Asian handicap Viking +2.75: won for Viking backers.
- Goals line 4.25: 6 goals, so the over won and the under lost.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in the Match Centre.
Viking welcome Bayern Munich to SR-Bank Arena in Stavanger in UEFA Champions League action on Wednesday 14 October 2026.
Viking have played 4 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Bayern Munich have played 5 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 3.2 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 60% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Bayern Munich are clear favourites at 83%, with the draw at 10% and Viking at 7%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.0% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Viking +2.75 at 1.93, Bayern Munich at 1.95. The main goals line is 4.25: over 1.83, under 2.04, which gives over 53%.
Viking: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.11 a match created (goals minus xG: +4.6).
- Shots: 9.0 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 37.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Bayern Munich: form and key numbers
In style Bayern Munich keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 3.07 a match created, 0.83 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 23.2 a match, 9.0 on target.
- Possession: 70.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 9.4 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.20.
Viking vs Bayern Munich: season averages side by side
| Viking | Per match | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.07 |
| – | xG conceded | 0.83 |
| 2.25 | Goals | 3.20 |
| 9.0 | Shots | 23.2 |
| 4.8 | Shots on target | 9.0 |
| 0.8 | Big chances missed | 3.6 |
| – | Pressure share % | 90.3 |
| 17.0 | Tackles | 12.8 |
| 12.8 | Fouls | 9.6 |
| 2.8 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 4 and 5 measured matches.
Viking vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Viking have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of the last 1 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Viking 3, Bayern Munich 3 - 6.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Viking 3-3 Bayern Munich (October 13th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings Viking won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Viking | 3 – 3 | Bayern Munich |
Players to watch
Bayern Munich
- Luis Díaz LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 63 · Gets into scoring positions, Dribbler (top 16% of his position)
- Harry Kane CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 62 · High shot volume, Chance creator (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Michael Olise
Michael Olise, 24 · FC Bayern München · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 90
Michael Olise, 24, plays as a winger for FC Bayern München in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and shots. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 90
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 86
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Competent, 80
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.06 / 90 | 98% |
| Shots | 5.04 / 90 | 97% |
| Key passes | 3.66 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.44 / 90 | 96% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.44 / 90 | 94% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser, High shot volume, Chance creator.
- What Michael Olise is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Michael Olise's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Viking vs Bayern Munich prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals - 1.30 for Viking and 2.84 for Bayern Munich - with over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 69%. Bayern Munich have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Viking 1-2 Bayern Munich
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Viking vs Bayern Munich betting tips
- Tip 1: Bayern Munich to win 83% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 78% by the model, 4.14 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 69% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Viking vs Bayern Munich in the Match Centre Follow it live
Viking vs Bayern Munich: questions and answers
When is Viking vs Bayern Munich?
Viking vs Bayern Munich is on Wednesday 14 October 2026, in UEFA Champions League.
Where is Viking vs Bayern Munich played?
At SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger, Viking's home ground.
Who will win Viking vs Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich are the favourites: Viking 7%, draw 10%, Bayern Munich 83%. Our prediction is Viking 1-2 Bayern Munich.
Who is the player to watch in Viking vs Bayern Munich?
Michael Olise of FC Bayern München: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 90 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs Bayern Munich?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 78%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.