Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 26 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah), Al Majma'ah · updated 2026-11-13
Al Faisaly welcome Al Diraiyah FC to Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah) in Al Majma'ah in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Al Faisaly have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Al Diraiyah FC have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 75% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Al Faisaly 32%, the draw 29%, Al Diraiyah FC 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Faisaly 1.14, Al Diraiyah FC 1.27.
- Over 2.5 goals: 43% · both teams to score: 50%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al Faisaly: form and key numbers
In style Al Faisaly play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.09 a match created, 1.72 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.0).
- Shots: 9.5 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Al Diraiyah FC: form and key numbers
In style Al Diraiyah FC take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 1.43 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.3).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 48.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC: season averages side by side
| Al Faisaly | Per match this season | Al Diraiyah FC |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.36 |
| 1.72 | xG conceded | 1.43 |
| 9.5 | Shots | 13.0 |
| 3.3 | On target | 3.2 |
| 48.5 | Possession % | 48.4 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 2.7 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.73 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Al Faisaly
- Flávio CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 14 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 20% of his position)
- Andrei Girotto CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 13 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 43% of his position)
Al Diraiyah FC
- Nikola Vasilj GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 23 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 29% of his position)
- Amin Al-Bukhari GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 16 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 48% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Idrissa Gueye
Idrissa Gueye, 37 · Al Diraiyah FC · DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 16
Idrissa Gueye, 37, plays as a defensive midfielder for Al Diraiyah FC in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dispossessed. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 16
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 59% |
| Dispossessed | 0.21 / 90 | 57% |
| Tackles | 3.92 / 90 | 52% |
| Fouls committed | 0.93 / 90 | 20% |
| Dribbled past | 0.62 / 90 | 18% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- What Idrissa Gueye is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Idrissa Gueye's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC prediction
Al Faisaly should have more of the ball; Al Faisaly go long and direct; Al Diraiyah FC like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.14 for Al Faisaly and 1.27 for Al Diraiyah FC - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 50%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Diraiyah FC
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 57% by the model, 2.41 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.5 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 7.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Al Ahli vs Al Nassr Friday 20 November 2026
- Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Thursday 26 November 2026
- Abha vs Al Shabab Thursday 26 November 2026
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC: questions and answers
When is Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC played?
At Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah), Al Majma'ah, Al Faisaly's home ground.
Who will win Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC?
It is close: Al Faisaly 32%, draw 29%, Al Diraiyah FC 39%. Our prediction is Al Faisaly 1-1 Al Diraiyah FC.
Who is the player to watch in Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Idrissa Gueye of Al Diraiyah FC: a ball-winner with a Moneyball Score of 16 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.