Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 26 November 2026 · 14:25 UTC · Al Fateh Club Stadium · updated 2026-11-13
Al Fateh welcome Al Riyadh to Al Fateh Club Stadium in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 14:25 UTC.
Al Fateh have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 8% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate. Al Riyadh have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Al Fateh 41%, the draw 26%, Al Riyadh 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Fateh 1.55, Al Riyadh 1.35.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al Fateh: form and key numbers
In style Al Fateh are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 2.19 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 43.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Al Riyadh: form and key numbers
In style Al Riyadh are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.01 a match created, 1.86 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.1).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 42.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh: season averages side by side
| Al Fateh | Per match this season | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.01 |
| 2.19 | xG conceded | 1.86 |
| 11.3 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 4.1 | On target | 3.2 |
| 43.1 | Possession % | 42.1 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 4.9 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.70 | Average rating | 6.70 |
Players to watch
Al Fateh
- Adrian Semper GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 17 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 61% of his position)
- Walid Al-Enezi GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 13 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 71% of his position)
Al Riyadh
- Bernard Mensah AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 13 · Secure passer, Big-chance creator (top 1% of his position)
- Kader Keita DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 12 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mourad Batna
Mourad Batna, 36 · Al Fateh · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 14
Mourad Batna, 36, plays as a winger for Al Fateh in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and successful dribbles. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 14
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.73 / 90 | 75% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.19 / 90 | 30% |
| Big chances created | 0.37 / 90 | 28% |
| Key passes | 2.37 / 90 | 23% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.26 / 90 | 22% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★ Classic winger Winger
- What Mourad Batna is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mourad Batna's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction
Al Fateh should have more of the ball; Al Fateh like to take players on; Al Riyadh go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.55 for Al Fateh and 1.35 for Al Riyadh - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Al Fateh 1-1 Al Riyadh
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 41%
- 2. 3 or more goals 55% by the model, 2.90 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Al Ahli vs Al Nassr Friday 20 November 2026
- Abha vs Al Shabab Thursday 26 November 2026
- Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC Thursday 26 November 2026
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh: questions and answers
When is Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 14:25 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh played?
At Al Fateh Club Stadium, Al Fateh's home ground.
Who will win Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
It is close: Al Fateh 41%, draw 26%, Al Riyadh 33%. Our prediction is Al Fateh 1-1 Al Riyadh.
Who is the player to watch in Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Mourad Batna of Al Fateh: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 14 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.