Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 · Thursday 5 November 2026 · Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata · referee B. Ferreyra · full time
Full time: Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate
River Plate beat Aldosivi 2-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Estadio José María Minella. The goals: Lucas Beltrán 76', Ángel Correa 90+1'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How River Plate won it
The opening goal came in the 76th minute: Lucas Beltrán from the penalty spot for River Plate. Ángel Correa made it 0-2 to River Plate in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Francisco Ortega.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, B. Ferreyra, showed 7 yellow cards: 6 to Aldosivi and 1 to River Plate.
Aldosivi: J. Sanguinetti, 4-2-3-1 · River Plate: L. Ponzio, 4-3-1-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A River Plate win was the estimate's call at 60%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 0-2 the real one.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.5 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 46%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 46%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 3.13 for Aldosivi and 0.06 for River Plate.
Aldosivi scored about 3.1 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
River Plate made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.9 goals.
Aldosivi created the better chances, 3.13 xG to 0.06, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected River Plate to create more, and Aldosivi did.
Aldosivi had 0 shots on target, River Plate 9.
Aldosivi's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
River Plate had 67% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Aldosivi came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.93 expected goals for and 1.83 against, and had won 9% of their matches.
River Plate came into it with 36 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and 0.74 against, and had won 53% of their matches.
Aldosivi vs River Plate: the match in numbers
| Aldosivi | Match statistics | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| 33% | Ball possession | 67% |
| 3.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.06 |
| 2 | Total shots | 23 |
| 0 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 0 | Big chances | 2 |
| 262 | Total passes | 542 |
| 66% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 27 | Tackles | 13 |
| 7 | Saves | 0 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Lucas Acosta (Aldosivi), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Aldosivi
- Lucas Acosta 7.7
- Néstor Breitenbruch 7.0
- Lucas Castro 6.9
- Alan Sosa 6.9
- Santiago Moya 6.8
River Plate
- Nicolás Otamendi 7.5
- Giovanni González 7.4
- Thiago Almada 7.4
- Lucas Beltrán 7.3 1 goal
- Tobías Andrada 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Nico Gaitán at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- River Plate: River Plate vs Lanús Sunday 22 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Aldosivi vs River Plate
What was the score in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Thursday 5 November 2026.
Who scored in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Lucas Beltrán 76', Ángel Correa 90+1'.
Did Moneyball predict Aldosivi vs River Plate correctly?
A River Plate win was the estimate's call at 60%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-2 was the likeliest, 0-2 the real one.
Who was man of the match in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Lucas Acosta, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Aldosivi vs River Plate?
B. Ferreyra.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.