Anderlecht 2-0 Salzburg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November 2026 · Lotto Park, Brussels · referee E. Məsiyev · full time
Full time: Anderlecht 2-0 Salzburg
Anderlecht beat Salzburg 2-0 in Europa League Matchday 4 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Lotto Park. The goals: Ludwig Augustinsson 20', Marten Winkler 90'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Anderlecht won it
The opening goal came in the 20th minute: Ludwig Augustinsson for Anderlecht. Marten Winkler made it 2-0 to Anderlecht in the 90th minute, set up by Oliver Antman.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, E. Məsiyev, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Anderlecht and 3 to Salzburg.
Anderlecht: V. Clara Santos Mota Fernandes, 4-2-3-1 · Salzburg: D. Röhl, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Anderlecht -0.50, was right: 2-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was an Anderlecht win at 50%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an Anderlecht win at 46%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Anderlecht had 7 shots on target, Salzburg 3.
Salzburg's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Salzburg had 56% of the ball, but Anderlecht took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Anderlecht came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.08 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Salzburg came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Anderlecht vs Salzburg: the match in numbers
| Anderlecht | Match statistics | Salzburg |
|---|---|---|
| 44% | Ball possession | 56% |
| 12 | Total shots | 8 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Big chances | 1 |
| 410 | Total passes | 514 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Tackles | 22 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Danylo Sikan (Anderlecht), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.
Anderlecht
- Danylo Sikan 7.5
- Ludwig Augustinsson 7.5 1 goal
- Giulian Biancone 7.3
- Colin Coosemans 7.3
- Léo Pétrot 7.2
Salzburg
- Bartosz Mazurek 7.2
- Christian Zawieschitzky 7.2
- Jesper Lindstrøm 7.0
- Edmund Baidoo 7.0
- Gaoussou Diakité 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Yorbe Vertessen at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Anderlecht: Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
- Salzburg: Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Anderlecht vs Salzburg
What was the score in Anderlecht vs Salzburg?
Anderlecht 2-0 Salzburg (half-time 1-0), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.
Who scored in Anderlecht vs Salzburg?
Ludwig Augustinsson 20', Marten Winkler 90'.
Did Moneyball predict Anderlecht vs Salzburg correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Anderlecht -0.50, was right: 2-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Anderlecht vs Salzburg?
Danylo Sikan, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Anderlecht vs Salzburg?
E. Məsiyev.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.