Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Antwerp 1-4 Sint-Truiden: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Antwerp 1-4 Sint-Truiden

Sint-Truiden beat Antwerp 4-1 in Belgian Pro League Matchday 4 on Sunday 30 August 2026 at Bosuilstadion. The goals: Ryotaro Araki 9', Snayder Porozo 58', Samed Bazdar 73', Kaito Matsuzawa 76', Samed Bazdar 90'.

How Sint-Truiden won it

Ryotaro Araki put Sint-Truiden ahead in the 9th minute. Antwerp levelled at 1-1 in the 58th minute through Snayder Porozo. Samed Bazdar made it 1-2 to Sint-Truiden in the 73rd minute, set up by Ryan Merlen. Kaito Matsuzawa made it 1-3 to Sint-Truiden in the 76th minute, set up by Ryan Merlen. Samed Bazdar made it 1-4 to Sint-Truiden in the 90th minute, set up by Ilias Sebaoui.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

Samed Bazdar scored twice.

The referee, B. Van Driessche, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Antwerp and 3 to Sint-Truiden.

Antwerp: M. Compper, 4-4-2 · Sint-Truiden: F. De Meyer, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 3.07 for Antwerp and 0.94 for Sint-Truiden.

Antwerp scored about 2.1 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Sint-Truiden made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.1 goals.

Antwerp created the better chances, 3.07 xG to 0.94, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Antwerp had 8 shots on target, Sint-Truiden 7.

Sint-Truiden's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Antwerp had 58% of the ball, but Sint-Truiden took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Antwerp came into it with 9 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 2.35 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Sint-Truiden came into it with 8 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.98 expected goals for and 1.59 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden: the match in numbers

AntwerpMatch statisticsSint-Truiden
58%Ball possession42%
3.07Expected goals (xG)0.94
18Total shots19
8Shots on target7
0Big chances7
440Total passes325
84%Pass accuracy71%
6Corners1
15Fouls8
2Offsides1
17Tackles30
2Saves7
1Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Samed Bazdar (Sint-Truiden), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Antwerp

Sint-Truiden

The lowest-rated starter was Taishi Brandon Nozawa at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden

What was the score in Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden?

Antwerp 1-4 Sint-Truiden (half-time 0-1), Belgian Pro League, Sunday 30 August 2026.

Who scored in Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden?

Ryotaro Araki 9', Snayder Porozo 58', Samed Bazdar 73', Kaito Matsuzawa 76', Samed Bazdar 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden?

Samed Bazdar, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Antwerp vs Sint-Truiden?

B. Van Driessche.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.