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Austin 1-4 Nashville SC: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Austin 1-4 Nashville SC

Nashville SC won 4-1 away at Austin in MLS on Sunday 11 October 2026. The goals: Reed Baker-Whiting 30', Elias Saad 67', Brandon Vazquez 76', Shak Mohammed 88', Hany Mukhtar 90+1'.

How Nashville SC won it

Nashville SC struck first through Reed Baker-Whiting in the 30th minute. Elias Saad made it 0-2 to Nashville SC in the 67th minute, set up by Cristian Espinoza. Brandon Vazquez made it 1-2 to Austin in the 76th minute, set up by Facundo Torres. Shak Mohammed made it 1-3 to Nashville SC in the 88th minute, set up by Hany Mukhtar. Hany Mukhtar made it 1-4 to Nashville SC in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Shak Mohammed.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

The referee, I. Elfath, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Austin and 2 to Nashville SC.

Austin: D. Arnaud, 3-4-3 · Nashville SC: B. Callaghan II, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 4.08 for Austin and 1.02 for Nashville SC.

Austin scored about 3.1 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Nashville SC made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.0 goals.

Austin created the better chances, 4.08 xG to 1.02, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Austin had 5 shots on target, Nashville SC 11.

Austin's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Nashville SC had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Austin came into it with 31 MLS matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.03 expected goals for and 1.96 against, and had won 26% of their matches.

Nashville SC came into it with 31 MLS matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.67 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 68% of their matches.

Austin vs Nashville SC: the match in numbers

AustinMatch statisticsNashville SC
44%Ball possession56%
4.08Expected goals (xG)1.02
11Total shots24
5Shots on target11
2Big chances9
378Total passes510
83%Pass accuracy88%
4Corners6
5Fouls11
0Offsides3
6Tackles13
7Saves4
1Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Cristian Espinoza (Nashville SC), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Austin

Nashville SC

The lowest-rated starter was Jon Bell at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Austin vs Nashville SC

What was the score in Austin vs Nashville SC?

Austin 1-4 Nashville SC (half-time 0-1), MLS, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Austin vs Nashville SC?

Reed Baker-Whiting 30', Elias Saad 67', Brandon Vazquez 76', Shak Mohammed 88', Hany Mukhtar 90+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Austin vs Nashville SC correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Austin vs Nashville SC?

Cristian Espinoza, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Austin vs Nashville SC?

I. Elfath.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.