Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-1 Olympique Marseille: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November 2026 · BayArena, Leverkusen · referee O. Grinfeeld · full time
Full time: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-1 Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0 in Europa League Matchday 4 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at BayArena. The goals: Amine Gouiri 77'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Olympique Marseille won it
Amine Gouiri put Olympique Marseille ahead in the 77th minute, set up by Ulisses Garcia.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, O. Grinfeeld, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 3 to Olympique Marseille.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: C. Martínez Novell, 4-2-3-1 · Olympique Marseille: B. Génésio, 4-1-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Bayer Leverkusen Win, and on 0-1 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 64%; an Olympique Marseille win, at 16%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.6 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 65%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Bayer 04 Leverkusen had 3 shots on target, Olympique Marseille 2.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen had 58% of the ball, but Olympique Marseille took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Bayer 04 Leverkusen came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.3 a match, with 2.82 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.
Olympique Marseille came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 0.89 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille: the match in numbers
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Match statistics | Olympique Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Ball possession | 42% |
| 10 | Total shots | 8 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 1 | Big chances | 1 |
| 702 | Total passes | 522 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 15 | Tackles | 16 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: CJ Egan-Riley (Olympique Marseille), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Aleix García 7.6
- Jarell Quansah 7.3
- Edmond Tapsoba 7.2
- Patrik Schick 7.0
- Ibrahim Maza 6.9
Olympique Marseille
- CJ Egan-Riley 7.7
- Amine Gouiri 7.2 1 goal
- Nayef Aguerd 7.2
- Timothy Weah 7.1
- Jeffrey de Lange 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Mark Flekken at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Olympique Marseille: Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille
What was the score in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-1 Olympique Marseille (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.
Who scored in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?
Amine Gouiri 77'.
Did Moneyball predict Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Bayer Leverkusen Win, and on 0-1 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?
CJ Egan-Riley, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?
O. Grinfeeld.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.