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Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-1 Olympique Marseille: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-1 Olympique Marseille

Olympique Marseille beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0 in Europa League Matchday 4 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at BayArena. The goals: Amine Gouiri 77'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Olympique Marseille won it

Amine Gouiri put Olympique Marseille ahead in the 77th minute, set up by Ulisses Garcia.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, O. Grinfeeld, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 3 to Olympique Marseille.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: C. Martínez Novell, 4-2-3-1 · Olympique Marseille: B. Génésio, 4-1-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Bayer Leverkusen Win, and on 0-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 64%; an Olympique Marseille win, at 16%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.6 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 65%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Bayer 04 Leverkusen had 3 shots on target, Olympique Marseille 2.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen had 58% of the ball, but Olympique Marseille took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Bayer 04 Leverkusen came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.3 a match, with 2.82 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.

Olympique Marseille came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 0.89 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille: the match in numbers

Bayer 04 LeverkusenMatch statisticsOlympique Marseille
58%Ball possession42%
10Total shots8
3Shots on target2
1Big chances1
702Total passes522
89%Pass accuracy88%
6Corners2
7Fouls12
15Tackles16
1Saves3
1Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: CJ Egan-Riley (Olympique Marseille), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Olympique Marseille

The lowest-rated starter was Mark Flekken at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille

What was the score in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-1 Olympique Marseille (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?

Amine Gouiri 77'.

Did Moneyball predict Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Bayer Leverkusen Win, and on 0-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?

CJ Egan-Riley, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?

O. Grinfeeld.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.