Celta de Vigo 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November 2026 · Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo · referee ?. Ağayev · full time
Full time: Celta de Vigo 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise won 2-1 away at Celta de Vigo in Europa League Matchday 4 on Thursday 5 November 2026. The goals: Pablo Durán 11', Besfort Zeneli 35', Besfort Zeneli 49'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Union Saint-Gilloise won it
Pablo Durán put Celta de Vigo ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Sergio Carreira. Union Saint-Gilloise levelled at 1-1 in the 35th minute through Besfort Zeneli, set up by Adem Zorgane. Union Saint-Gilloise turned it round: Besfort Zeneli made it 1-2 in the 49th minute, set up by Kevin Rodríguez.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Besfort Zeneli scored twice.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, ?. Ağayev, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Celta de Vigo and 1 to Union Saint-Gilloise. Besfort Zeneli missed a penalty for Union Saint-Gilloise in the 80 minute.
Celta de Vigo: C. Giráldez González, 3-4-3 · Union Saint-Gilloise: D. Hubert, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Celta de Vigo win at 43%; an Union Saint-Gilloise win, at 32%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Celta de Vigo win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Celta de Vigo had 4 shots on target, Union Saint-Gilloise 3.
Celta de Vigo had 59% of the ball, but Union Saint-Gilloise took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Celta de Vigo came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.20 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Union Saint-Gilloise came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 2.49 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.
Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise: the match in numbers
| Celta de Vigo | Match statistics | Union Saint-Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Ball possession | 41% |
| 13 | Total shots | 15 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 600 | Total passes | 417 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Tackles | 19 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Pablo Durán (Celta de Vigo), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Celta de Vigo
- Pablo Durán 8.0 1 goal
- Sergio Carreira 7.4 1 assist
- Iago Aspas 7.0
- Yoel Lago 7.0
- Williot Swedberg 7.0
Union Saint-Gilloise
- Besfort Zeneli 7.9 2 goals
- Adem Zorgane 7.3 1 assist
- Kevin Rodríguez 7.2 1 assist
- Kamiel Van De Perre 7.1
- Louis Patris 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Javi Rueda at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Celta de Vigo: Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
- Union Saint-Gilloise: KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise
What was the score in Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Celta de Vigo 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise (half-time 1-1), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.
Who scored in Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Pablo Durán 11', Besfort Zeneli 35', Besfort Zeneli 49'.
Did Moneyball predict Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Pablo Durán, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
?. Ağayev.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.