KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk · updated 2026-11-13
KV Kortrijk welcome Union Saint-Gilloise to Guldensporen Stadion in Kortrijk in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
KV Kortrijk have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 9% of them. At home they average 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Union Saint-Gilloise have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 82% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 56% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Union Saint-Gilloise are clear favourites at 72%, with the draw at 18% and KV Kortrijk at 10%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: KV Kortrijk 0.72, Union Saint-Gilloise 2.27.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 46%.
- Most likely score: 0–3 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
KV Kortrijk: form and key numbers
In style KV Kortrijk are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.6).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 44.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 27% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.65.
Union Saint-Gilloise: form and key numbers
In style Union Saint-Gilloise keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.91 a match created, 1.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.9).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 7.2 on target.
- Possession: 52.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 55% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.06.
KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise: season averages side by side
| KV Kortrijk | Per match this season | Union Saint-Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.4 | Goals scored | 2.7 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 0.6 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.91 |
| 1.85 | xG conceded | 1.11 |
| 11.0 | Shots | 16.9 |
| 3.4 | On target | 7.2 |
| 44.5 | Possession % | 52.8 |
| 9% | Clean sheets % | 55% |
| 27% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 3.2 | Corners | 6.7 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.65 | Average rating | 7.06 |
Players to watch
KV Kortrijk
- Goduine Koyalipou CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 50 · Dominant in the air, High shot volume (top 15% of his position)
- Brecht Dejaegere CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 47 · Creator, Chance creator (top 11% of his position)
Union Saint-Gilloise
- Adem Zorgane CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 68 · Creator, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
- Relebohile Mofokeng LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 56 · Chance creator, Creator (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Massiré Sylla
Massiré Sylla, 21 · Union Saint-Gilloise · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 68
Massiré Sylla, 21, plays as a centre-back for Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in duels won and tackles. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 68
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 9.50 / 90 | 99% |
| Tackles | 3.60 / 90 | 96% |
| Clearances | 7.90 / 90 | 96% |
| Interceptions | 3.20 / 90 | 96% |
| Long balls | 3.50 / 90 | 81% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Ball-winner, Box defender.
- What Massiré Sylla is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Massiré Sylla's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise should have more of the ball, with KV Kortrijk likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 0.72 for KV Kortrijk and 2.27 for Union Saint-Gilloise - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 46%. Union Saint-Gilloise have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: KV Kortrijk 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise
KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise: what the numbers say
- 1. Union Saint-Gilloise win, the likeliest result 72% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.98 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 9.7 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
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KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise: questions and answers
When is KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise played?
At Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk, KV Kortrijk's home ground.
Who will win KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Union Saint-Gilloise are the favourites: KV Kortrijk 10%, draw 18%, Union Saint-Gilloise 72%. Our prediction is KV Kortrijk 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise.
Who is the player to watch in KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Massiré Sylla of Union Saint-Gilloise: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.