FC Köln 1-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 9 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne · referee F. Zwayer · full time
Full time: FC Köln 1-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2-1 away at FC Köln in Bundesliga Matchday 9 on Sunday 8 November 2026. The goals: Aleix García 7', Patrik Schick 85', Saïd El Mala 90+2'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Bayer 04 Leverkusen won it
The opening goal came in the 7th minute: Aleix García for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Patrik Schick made it 0-2 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the 85th minute, set up by Ibrahim Maza. Saïd El Mala made it 1-2 to FC Köln in the 90th minute (+2), set up by Malek El Mala.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
The referee, F. Zwayer, showed 11 yellow cards: 6 to FC Köln and 5 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
FC Köln: R. Wagner, 3-5-2 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen: C. Martínez Novell, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 49%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 53%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.45 for FC Köln and 1.40 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
FC Köln had 6 shots on target, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8.
FC Köln's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
FC Köln came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.54 expected goals for and 1.58 against, and had won 22% of their matches.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 2.00 expected goals for and 1.61 against, and had won 56% of their matches.
FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: the match in numbers
| FC Köln | Match statistics | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 38% | Ball possession | 62% |
| 1.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.40 |
| 12 | Total shots | 14 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 3 | Big chances | 4 |
| 392 | Total passes | 638 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 24 | Tackles | 18 |
| 6 | Saves | 5 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 5 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Aleix García (Bayer 04 Leverkusen), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
FC Köln
- Borna Sosa 7.4
- Marvin Schwäbe 7.4
- Sebastian Sebulonsen 7.1
- Marius Bülter 7.0
- Saïd El Mala 7.0 1 goal
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Aleix García 8.3 1 goal
- Patrik Schick 7.6 1 goal
- Mark Flekken 7.5
- Miguel Gutiérrez 7.3
- Ibrahim Maza 7.2 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Afonso Moreira at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- FC Köln: FC Bayern München vs FC Köln Friday 20 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
What was the score in FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
FC Köln 1-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (half-time 0-1), Bundesliga, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Aleix García 7', Patrik Schick 85', Saïd El Mala 90+2'.
Did Moneyball predict FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Aleix García, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
F. Zwayer.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.